MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x437b776848e0d0d05bc7ba11ebb0056b41dfee085b0b25b682d4912c6f150904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 17,184$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 12,774$7,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,792.34 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 10,274$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.27 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 9,857$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.93 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 6,376$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 6,275$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 5,852$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 5,495$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 4,869$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,782$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.96 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 4,503$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 4,261$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 3,827$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 3,366$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 2,951$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 2,673$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,662$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.02 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 2,267$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.33 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 1,723$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,698$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 1,661$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.55 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,585$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.11 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,478$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.72 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,401$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.28 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 1,165$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,164$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.26 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,022$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.43 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 1,003$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 983.58$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.82 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f7…171fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 981.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 865.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 798.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 755.07$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.59 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 736.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 736.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 669.82$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.51 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…c6a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 651.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 638.79$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.33 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 590.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 571.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 505.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 505.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 499.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 492.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 469.44$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 461.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 459.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 442.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.05 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 404.15$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 403.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 397.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 386.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 383.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 379.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 378.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.91 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 360.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 344.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 337.17$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 332.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 328.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 324.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 323.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 316.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 297.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 295.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 286.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 275.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 271.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 269$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 266.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 263.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 259.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 249.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 249.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 239.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 238.52$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 226.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 220.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 207.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 205$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 197.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 181.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 175.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 174.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 172.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 171.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 160.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 149.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 139.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 137.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 137.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 135.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.