MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492864d1dfe581fc812f9d05b9b8517a0b93b15aafda8cc68e916a93eb26bcaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 152,637$68,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,686.45 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 23,316$12,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,492.22 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 17,619$9,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,866.52 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 14,980$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.61 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 14,800$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 13,135$5,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.9 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 12,634$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 11,909$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.08 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 10,458$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.85 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…1041backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 10,109$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 8,666$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.51 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 5,821$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 3,495$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.93 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,207$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.97 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,384$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.57 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,371$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.79 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 2,224$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,185$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.36 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,183$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 2,156$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,970$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.63 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,802$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,773$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.97 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,641$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,611$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 1,525$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,445$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.6 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,433$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.68 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 1,269$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,194$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 1,067$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 935.65$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 875.69$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.06 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 810.07$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 731.97$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 677.78$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 656.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 611.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 600.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 583.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 571.4$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 517.63$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 494.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 480.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 465.73$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 459.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 440.18$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 425.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 405.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 383.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 381.17$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 364.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 362.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 340.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 328.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 326.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 323.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 322.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 321.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 321.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 315.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 309.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 309.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 298.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 287.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 286.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 279.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 272.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 261$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 255.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 244.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 236.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 227.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 222.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 221.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 218.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 218.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 216.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 215.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 214.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 214.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 202.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 199.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 197.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e95…c57bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 197.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 193.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 184.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 182.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 182.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 180.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 178.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.