MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447615a62aaec407a2a06f270e7466b9b25cb50e2c0c5e73ec06630218020038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 39,999$19,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,824.74 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 25,052$12,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400.19 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 14,760$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.45 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 50c | 13,736$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.93 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 72c | 9,720$6,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 9,489$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 5,917$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New York Yankees | 52c | 5,625$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,529$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 5,332$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 4,924$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.61 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 50c | 4,923$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.41 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,502$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 3,694$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 75c | 3,246$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,836$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 74c | 2,706$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,094$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.12 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.84 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,973$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.49 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,885$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,700$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.55 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,614$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,578$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.55 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 1,435$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 70c | 1,395$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 1,364$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.27 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,330$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.57 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 1,151$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 1,042$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,009$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 995.63$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 988.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed New York Yankees | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 965.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 958$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 905.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 817.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a617backed New York Yankees | 53c | 795.78$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed New York Yankees | 53c | 795.55$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.15 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees | 61c | 781.22$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 766.23$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 751.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed New York Yankees | 51c | 727.21$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 722.2$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 695.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked New York Yankees | 70c | 640$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 598.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 545.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 535.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 504.4$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed New York Yankees | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 492.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed New York Yankees | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 470$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 455.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 425.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 419.59$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 403.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…da01backed New York Yankees | 77c | 389.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 350.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…f274backed New York Yankees | 72c | 341.39$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed New York Yankees | 53c | 333.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked New York Yankees | 72c | 332.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 330.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed New York Yankees | 74c | 322.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Seattle Mariners | 29c | 308.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 300.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 299.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 294.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 290.49$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 255.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 66c | 251.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 250.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed New York Yankees | 53c | 244.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 226.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 222.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 72c | 220.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…6499backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 210.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 208.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed New York Yankees | 73c | 207.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed New York Yankees | 51c | 203.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 202.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 197.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.