TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Blues, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,068,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,128,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Blues44c182,100$80,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,062.5716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Kings56c167,904$94,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,877.667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings57c110,000$62,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,30048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blues43c64,566$27,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,763.3348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings56c50,040$28,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,017.4736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kings56c49,035$27,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,566.441,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings56c37,625$21,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,555.2224349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings56c32,305$18,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,214.3551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Blues49c20,709$10,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,22512835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings57c20,649$11,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,879.0715949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef8…4a8ebacked Blues0c19,790$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings59c19,385$11,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,875.2727448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings56c12,647$7,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.5659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blues44c10,714$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,71485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blues43c9,999$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.5561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings56c5,358$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.5252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings57c5,303$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.231,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings65c4,827$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.161,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Kings54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.158345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings56c4,444$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.3686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blues44c4,400$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93614940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Blues43c4,323$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85939649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blues43c4,200$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Blues45c4,180$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.922548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Blues43c4,162$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Blues44c4,091$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Blues1c4,067$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blues43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9127547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings55c3,898$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings56c3,865$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.792,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings54c3,686$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.252,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Blues43c3,278$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.5431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Kings57c3,209$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9115245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Blues43c3,146$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.953154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues44c3,066$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.161,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7da…6bd4backed Blues44c2,886$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4b…fddebacked Blues39c2,850$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blues42c2,842$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.131,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Blues43c2,824$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.4414553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues42c2,789$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.3360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues45c2,500$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Kings72c2,450$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4617353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Blues45c2,378$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.7824837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Blues43c2,284$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings60c2,263$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Kings54c2,206$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Kings56c2,033$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.0311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Blues45c2,026$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.763969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Kings57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Blues42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9825447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Kings56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.943959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Blues44c1,968$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.23050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Blues43c1,900$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings55c1,834$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.753,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…ed5ebacked Blues43c1,834$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.351225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Blues22c1,820$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.410438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings56c1,800$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.8276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings49c1,765$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Kings59c1,708$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Kings56c1,700$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7487354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blues44c1,663$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.712047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings56c1,631$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea5…76d4backed Kings57c1,563$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings62c1,460$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0612328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93d5…bf4dbacked Kings57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Blues44c1,192$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52034941.3%144 W · 205 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…a3e2backed Kings57c1,143$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blues44c1,140$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.615252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Blues44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Blues32c1,136$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9640152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Blues43c1,088$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8412355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Kings55c1,086$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings56c1,080$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Kings62c1,045$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43045749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blues43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kings56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c027backed Blues43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Blues43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kings57c981.37$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3551949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Blues44c980$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e4c…28ddbacked Kings56c980$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.22045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings56c937$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.2883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings73c931.39$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.191,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Blues43c930$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Blues27c915.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5665721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings79c886.08$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Blues20c883.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3825635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings69c863.55$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3933234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings59c779.53$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues43c709$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings64c703.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.641,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…6df7backed Kings57c689.16$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.112254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Blues20c673$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6416447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Blues15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.