NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e23bc8680bb1abb6e0ffc7b09cbb3ff28bcaa3e42c8c54abca9f766b085ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 3,713$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.56 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 1,884$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 61c | 1,538$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.82 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 61c | 627.1$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 40c | 335.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 61c | 313$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 192.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 61c | 149.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 102.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…2fc5backed Over | 38c | 45.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 38c | 40.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 39c | 34.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…015fbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. KingsKings won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.