NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8251939d63d810ccb4b21ca06635e2f496131ad665f1e5696cfb6967871d292e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Kings, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 46c | 782.02$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blues | 54c | 665.66$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blues | 66c | 504.92$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 34c | 501.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 36c | 470$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blues | 66c | 419.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 34c | 353.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 29c | 343.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 32c | 338.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kings | 34c | 264.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Blues | 53c | 205.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Kings | 34c | 169.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 29c | 160.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blues | 52c | 131.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 33c | 126.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Blues | 55c | 118.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Kings | 34c | 117.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blues | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blues | 66c | 95.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 23c | 91.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Blues | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blues | 51c | 76.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 68c | 73.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…d7c1backed Blues | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Blues | 67c | 69.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Kings | 34c | 64.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kings | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kings | 43c | 53.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kings | 35c | 51.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Kings | 47c | 37.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blues | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 33c | 31.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Kings | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blues | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blues | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blues | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…48babacked Blues | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…6156backed Blues | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. KingsKings won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.