TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c20,000$10,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,09041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c18,675$9,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.7851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9932…e954backed Over49c14,625$7,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,166.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c7,292$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.111,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c4,691$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.642,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under50c4,155$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.511058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over48c3,530$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.2327547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under52c3,316$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8412146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Under50c2,884$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under51c2,830$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.76350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c2,599$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.0751045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over50c1,750$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c978.27$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.961,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over48c898.36$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.211,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over49c824.98$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8210540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c822.42$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Over49c625.02$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2612254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c621.85$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.491,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c559.24$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.522946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c538.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.232,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under52c457$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under52c408$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.847853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under52c383$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.845844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under52c377.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4911557.4%66 W · 49 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under63c355.16$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.167847.4%37 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under51c275$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.756346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under51c275$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.753452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under54c263$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.532,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under52c256$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.889849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under52c256$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.885549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under52c256$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.887648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under52c237.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.065367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…b1b7backed Over48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under52c198$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0411050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under52c182.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under52c181$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.889347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under50c174$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8715650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.47454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Under50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Under50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c140.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7238849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over48c125.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4413549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c123.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5614353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.415248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4828542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb4e…d00abacked Under51c98.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under52c87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7610359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over49c81.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.154245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over38c78.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under51c74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.262857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Under50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c65.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6218453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c65.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.244845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x654f…61eebacked Under52c55.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.924955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c53.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under52c52.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.066341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over49c48.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over48c47.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.913253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238850%44 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Under52c45.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad5…085ebacked Over50c43.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4654049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under51c37.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2717343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over49c35.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3645651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over50c35.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.586262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4d…6c18backed Under52c34.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Over49c33.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.535451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.518949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Under52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.884351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Under52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.774746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over49c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5516549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.928548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Under55c27.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4516945%76 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Over55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.655650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.