TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaf60…6df7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$94.85
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.55
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.25
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$25.83
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.81
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$356.1
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.74
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.76
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$280.36
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.65
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$147.3
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.21
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$70.03
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.81
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$150.48
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.89
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$264.34
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36.62
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$196.25
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$51.07
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$403
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.91
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.23
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$46.5
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$299.11
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.18
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.31
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.31
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.72
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$107.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29%+$114.72
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$160.7
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$481.22
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$244.72
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$72.75
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$202.81
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$66.52
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$70.19
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$102.92
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$94.61
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$54.67
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.2
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.12
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$54.91
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.47
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.09
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$78.18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$173
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$139.29
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+67%+$52.8
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$73.64
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.21
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$75.15
Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$142.59
Morelia: Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$87.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.71
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.15
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$132.32
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.86
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.18
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$58.55
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.45
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.66
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$44.06
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$106.69
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.