TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Federico Bondioliof Sumit Nagal, Federico Bondioli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,209 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sumit Nagal43c7,080$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.372,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Federico Bondioli54c5,924$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.628229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Federico Bondioli79c4,568$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.7780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Federico Bondioli71c3,083$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.551361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027f…472abacked Sumit Nagal45c2,227$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0024134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f4…1885backed Federico Bondioli64c2,059$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.543638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Federico Bondioli32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02030715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sumit Nagal51c1,495$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.678,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Sumit Nagal42c1,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Federico Bondioli37c1,349$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.0955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Sumit Nagal45c1,313$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3881…fc55backed Federico Bondioli36c1,300$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Sumit Nagal1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Federico Bondioli47c1,217$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.222634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Sumit Nagal43c1,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Sumit Nagal1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Federico Bondioli70c851.86$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8624558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sumit Nagal42c823.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Sumit Nagal47c724$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.27346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sumit Nagal44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Federico Bondioli38c663.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.111,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed Federico Bondioli61c536.07$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.071782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Sumit Nagal50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Sumit Nagal61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Sumit Nagal51c489.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed Sumit Nagal54c474.07$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Sumit Nagal36c433.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9129637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sumit Nagal62c423$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.267,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Sumit Nagal38c403.69$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sumit Nagal35c382.71$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.892,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Sumit Nagal45c356.89$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.958143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Federico Bondioli58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1454967.3%33 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sumit Nagal34c343.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.341,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Sumit Nagal33c333.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Federico Bondioli53c330.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2213748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Federico Bondioli59c319.27$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.286,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Federico Bondioli38c293.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1823429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Federico Bondioli71c280.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0222465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5f…1238backed Sumit Nagal41c242.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Sumit Nagal16c235.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2710729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Sumit Nagal43c230.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Sumit Nagal59c230.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5414772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Federico Bondioli46c222.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8127936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a6…be39backed Sumit Nagal44c214.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Federico Bondioli49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Federico Bondioli57c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.810543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Federico Bondioli63c199.89$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.112,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Federico Bondioli50c189.55$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.733,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Federico Bondioli55c183.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2733149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Sumit Nagal55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…8ba4backed Sumit Nagal58c181.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Sumit Nagal30c178$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5332837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Sumit Nagal8c171.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7416718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sumit Nagal35c160.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.393,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sumit Nagal40c157.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.839450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sumit Nagal60c156.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.571,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Sumit Nagal65c154.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10071165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Sumit Nagal64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Sumit Nagal62c149.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.769745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Federico Bondioli49c147.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.830844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Federico Bondioli37c147.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9222033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Sumit Nagal51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Federico Bondioli69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510664.2%68 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Federico Bondioli57c138.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.651,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Federico Bondioli61c132.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.957852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Sumit Nagal51c132.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4627147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Federico Bondioli46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4317051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Sumit Nagal46c128.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9348652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sumit Nagal44c126.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.294,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Sumit Nagal40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.937342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee51…157abacked Sumit Nagal42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Sumit Nagal40c115.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2914355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Federico Bondioli54c112$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Sumit Nagal45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Federico Bondioli61c108.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.951,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Federico Bondioli52c105.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.544,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Sumit Nagal15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Sumit Nagal13c104.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Federico Bondioli59c103.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5515258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Federico Bondioli66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Sumit Nagal65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6541272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Sumit Nagal18c96.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Federico Bondioli52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.084,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Federico Bondioli76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1115655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Federico Bondioli49c90.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.12,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Federico Bondioli46c90.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6624350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Sumit Nagal44c87.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.544837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Federico Bondioli58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Sumit Nagal36c85.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sumit Nagal38c85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.492,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Federico Bondioli58c84.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.897,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sumit Nagal32c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Sumit Nagal44c79.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.924443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f10…0cb9backed Federico Bondioli38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.957263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sumit Nagal28c78.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Federico Bondioli48c73.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.152,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Sumit Nagal44c70.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.971,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Sumit Nagal29c69.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…8f75backed Federico Bondioli65c61.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Federico Bondioli39c61.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2624249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.