MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de60938f61e8aed3c13a7d4908d433e6e05d83d6326227b524792e526b5abcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 29,175$10,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,963.55 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 27,056$17,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,222.12 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 22,144$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,943.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 22,040$14,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,326 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 18,600$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,275.97 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 14,860$10,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 11,382$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,513.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…8dd0backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 10,298$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 8,607$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.44 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 8,474$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.93 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 8,400$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.98 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 7,647$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 7,341$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.27 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 7,110$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.04 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 7,042$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.05 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 6,665$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 5,999$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.59 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…dcf7backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 4,855$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.08 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 4,046$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 3,826$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.56 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 3,165$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.23 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 3,061$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 2,888$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.64 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 2,773$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.54 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 2,608$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.39 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,261$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,828$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.71 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,745$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 1,561$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.12 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 1,492$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,475$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,430$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,316$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,280$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 1,263$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,075$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 976.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.61 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 961$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 960.84$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.42 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 959.44$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 946.14$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 933.36$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 918$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 887.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 873.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 824.49$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 801$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 790.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 783.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 766.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 749$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 736.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 682.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 660.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 645.33$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 625.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 608.57$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 600$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 572.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 545.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 500$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 497.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 475$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.25 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 458.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 420$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 387.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 386.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 369.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 345$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 333.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 322.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…45dbbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 295$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…8043backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Chicago Cubs | 5c | 263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 251.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 236.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 233.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 232.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 230.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 224$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 223.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.