MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879f7f07dd0c957dd8a4888cfbc32b1df2ba78b8643eb7aed5b4eb6e093356af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Chicago Cubs, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 6,588$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.22 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,884$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.38 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,833$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.4 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,696$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.71 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 5,500$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.47 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 5,331$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.26 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,635$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 3,988$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.64 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 3,529$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.92 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…8052backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,391$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.7 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.84 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 849$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 709.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.46 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 703$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 610$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 462.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 437.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 424$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 401.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 316$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 228.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 175.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 161.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 136.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 131.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 107.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 103.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…3c87backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 83.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 56.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 50.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 49.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 44.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 44.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 43.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 40.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 40.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 40.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 37.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago CubsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.