TailMyPicks

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UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dione Barbosaof Melissa Gatto, Dione Barbosa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Melissa Gatto48c18,567$8,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,912.153046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Melissa Gatto19c15,697$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.728434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Melissa Gatto50c14,837$7,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,418.6510542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Dione Barbosa52c13,074$6,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.456055%33 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dione Barbosa72c12,296$8,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.0715939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Dione Barbosa50c11,368$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.25955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Melissa Gatto50c10,149$5,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.3419154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Dione Barbosa50c6,680$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.734548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Melissa Gatto52c6,637$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.6629151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Melissa Gatto47c6,180$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dione Barbosa53c5,006$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.8128849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Dione Barbosa50c4,924$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.9313039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Dione Barbosa53c4,135$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.969164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Dione Barbosa50c4,009$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.7414551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Melissa Gatto2c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+900%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dione Barbosa68c3,620$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.2620139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Melissa Gatto48c3,594$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.037128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Dione Barbosa50c3,481$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.4626743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Dione Barbosa72c3,004$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.7516746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Melissa Gatto46c2,974$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9629133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…e90fbacked Melissa Gatto22c2,776$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd251…db86backed Melissa Gatto55c2,668$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.221855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Dione Barbosa53c2,662$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.775650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Dione Barbosa51c2,434$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.847247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccc…d978backed Dione Barbosa49c2,315$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Dione Barbosa49c2,218$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.1210546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Dione Barbosa51c2,021$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.511776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Melissa Gatto50c1,998$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Melissa Gatto51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.0111746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Dione Barbosa52c1,721$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.642045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dione Barbosa52c1,703$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9214929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed Dione Barbosa39c1,702$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.474042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Melissa Gatto44c1,515$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.2321247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Dione Barbosa49c1,425$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Dione Barbosa77c1,268$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3914551%74 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecd…1419backed Melissa Gatto1c1,245$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.99520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Melissa Gatto2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Dione Barbosa52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dione Barbosa74c1,180$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.813951.1%71 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Melissa Gatto18c1,121$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6814530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Dione Barbosa52c1,109$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4510949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7358…1d32backed Melissa Gatto11c1,081$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.957647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Melissa Gatto2c1,015$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210%0 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Melissa Gatto2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16220%0 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Melissa Gatto24c981.08$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6635648.6%173 W · 183 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Melissa Gatto51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.013246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Melissa Gatto50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48522661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Dione Barbosa52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.252277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Dione Barbosa52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.253647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Melissa Gatto50c905.98$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.9935564.5%229 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Melissa Gatto48c873.33$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.533237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Dione Barbosa52c867$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.162040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Melissa Gatto21c854.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.433132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Melissa Gatto47c843.16$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.289147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Melissa Gatto46c795.59$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.222334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Melissa Gatto50c795.4$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Dione Barbosa51c753.85$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Dione Barbosa54c732.57$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5427448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Dione Barbosa54c729.64$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6315552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Dione Barbosa58c693.91$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.014100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Melissa Gatto49c672.33$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4411554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Melissa Gatto49c658.22$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.532055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Melissa Gatto49c652.02$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.492552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Dione Barbosa35c617.45$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8816745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dione Barbosa57c615.21$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6715540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Melissa Gatto46c613.09$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Melissa Gatto47c609.5$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.452343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Dione Barbosa68c585.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2222438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Dione Barbosa50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2914055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Melissa Gatto5c570.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Dione Barbosa51c569.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1410253.9%55 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Dione Barbosa21c499.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9932545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Dione Barbosa77c499.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Dione Barbosa79c485.82$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Melissa Gatto50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Melissa Gatto41c473.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.183852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Melissa Gatto51c471.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7126140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Dione Barbosa51c449.14$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0815556.8%88 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Melissa Gatto13c433.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9317841.6%74 W · 104 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Dione Barbosa50c426.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.410961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Melissa Gatto6c425.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5537754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Dione Barbosa45c401.62$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3212557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Melissa Gatto48c401.42$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7911364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Melissa Gatto50c401.14$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.572850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Dione Barbosa50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Melissa Gatto49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dione Barbosa51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5112833.6%43 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Melissa Gatto47c367.17$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.578360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Melissa Gatto51c365.4$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.364639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe160…b6b9backed Melissa Gatto33c364.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0914442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Melissa Gatto49c359.65$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.231145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd023…fa38backed Dione Barbosa53c349.85$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f16…301ebacked Melissa Gatto21c349.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Dione Barbosa50c349.2$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.64955.1%27 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Melissa Gatto31c333.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.923732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Melissa Gatto50c333.27$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.632437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Dione Barbosa57c333.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.869949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Melissa Gatto36c324$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.646240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Melissa Gatto30c322.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.444143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Dione Barbosa66c313.29$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.524047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.