MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb74859cc3c8ea8827fc02a093de1d6881aa0e80b397a72d380794703d02cac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Baltimore Orioles, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 25,334$15,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,167.64 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 19,989$10,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,195.01 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 19,280$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,190.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 15,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 15,407$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 14,539$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.78 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 12,958$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 11,785$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.36 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 8,563$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 8,414$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.84 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 7,084$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 6,740$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,236$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,681$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,436$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.04 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,353$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.18 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 3,243$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.98 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e373backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 2,824$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,799$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.95 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 2,729$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,721$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.03 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,367$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,353$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.65 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,263$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,081$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.88 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.34 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,858$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,830$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,827$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.46 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 1,629$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,532$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,507$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.52 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,390$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,335$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,257$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.01 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,172$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.41 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,134$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.58 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 1,100$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,094$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,052$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.97 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 1,035$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.87 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 943.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 879.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 853.76$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.12 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 847.92$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 837.74$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 832.02$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 805.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 761.43$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 653.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 605.84$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 592.45$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 587.43$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 578.04$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 575.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 559.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.02 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 544$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 507.43$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 496.28$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 481.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 449.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 448.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 446.52$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 442.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 432.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 405.25$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 397.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 337.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 329.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 329.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 319.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 310.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 289.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 289.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 279.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 262.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 256.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 256.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 251.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 247.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 240.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 235.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 232.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 226.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 219.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 217.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 216.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.