MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ebead6c2b12fc9c9183392c6e281716fbdb7695ed4f232390138a13f26b495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 54c | 375,426$204,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,255.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 46c | 119,942$55,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,169.04 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 66,570$30,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,566.84 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 63,643$28,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,933.77 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 45c | 41,569$18,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,926.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 40,490$18,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,966.8 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 13,269$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 7,477$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.43 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 46c | 7,000$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 5,415$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.51 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 46c | 5,358$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 5,348$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.77 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 3,756$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.51 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,574$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.92 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 2,190$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.15 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Under | 54c | 2,179$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 2,178$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.9 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Over | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 48c | 2,033$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.38 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 1,449$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.25 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 47c | 1,347$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.29 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 1,220$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 54c | 1,219$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.29 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 1,202$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.74 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 45c | 1,098$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 1,090$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.25 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 54c | 1,011$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.87 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 983.33$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.33 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 925.7$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 888.42$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 741.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 54c | 724.82$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 48c | 722.12$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 701.48$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 575.09$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 560.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 47c | 556.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 54c | 501.58$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 54c | 489.12$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 58c | 418.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 36c | 358.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 351.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 346.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 344.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 333.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 49c | 268.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 266.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 265.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 45c | 224.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 207.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 49c | 198.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Under | 57c | 195.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 189.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 45c | 184.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 68c | 163.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 141.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 30c | 131.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 121.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…63b2backed Over | 60c | 120.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 44c | 116.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 110.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 54c | 106.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 46c | 103.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 103.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Over | 47c | 95.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 57c | 94.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 94.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 57c | 94.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 57c | 94.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 57c | 94.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 54c | 90.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 88.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 47c | 88.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 57c | 87.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 18c | 84.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…07bebacked Under | 55c | 79.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 72c | 72.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 70.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 47c | 70.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 67.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 53c | 67.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.