UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cbf6904c57fde800a96f257f1528150071c33a2238d60298b78b5373867aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alice Pereiraof Hailey Cowan, Alice Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,048,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 370,650$169,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,790.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 112,443$61,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,357.07 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 65,287$35,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,032.04 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 40,447$21,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,605.61 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 38,896$21,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,892.16 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 24,310$13,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,182.6 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 20,250$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 17,753$9,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.97 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Alice Pereira | 70c | 15,222$10,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.19 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 13,254$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 11,095$5,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 9,833$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.14 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 8,576$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.77 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 7,075$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Alice Pereira | 56c | 7,042$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Hailey Cowan | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hailey Cowan | 31c | 5,923$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.16 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Alice Pereira | 56c | 5,405$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.53 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hailey Cowan | 45c | 4,794$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.18 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hailey Cowan | 44c | 4,407$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.95 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Alice Pereira | 53c | 4,401$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.87 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Hailey Cowan | 46c | 4,183$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.37 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hailey Cowan | 44c | 4,088$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…8eadbacked Hailey Cowan | 6c | 4,010$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 3,989$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Hailey Cowan | 47c | 3,970$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.79 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 3,939$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Hailey Cowan | 19c | 3,829$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Alice Pereira | 53c | 3,302$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.07 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Alice Pereira | 60c | 2,754$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hailey Cowan | 46c | 2,733$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Hailey Cowan | 44c | 2,604$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Hailey Cowan | 1c | 2,352$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hailey Cowan | 13c | 2,324$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Alice Pereira | 56c | 2,286$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 2,121$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Alice Pereira | 62c | 1,972$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.3 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…0de5backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,971$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alice Pereira | 53c | 1,965$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…84b5backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,958$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,754$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.53 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hailey Cowan | 46c | 1,737$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.95 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Hailey Cowan | 45c | 1,636$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.06 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hailey Cowan | 27c | 1,519$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…d234backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,456$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Hailey Cowan | 46c | 1,445$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.97 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,440$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 1,437$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.65 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 1,410$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.05 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…0e04backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,403$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Hailey Cowan | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 1,106$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.66 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Alice Pereira | 53c | 1,106$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.52 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Hailey Cowan | 45c | 1,049$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.78 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hailey Cowan | 19c | 1,040$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hailey Cowan | 43c | 1,032$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.3 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Hailey Cowan | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Hailey Cowan | 45c | 999.9$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Hailey Cowan | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Alice Pereira | 57c | 910.76$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…0f85backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 830.73$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.83 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Alice Pereira | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hailey Cowan | 26c | 730.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alice Pereira | 56c | 704.45$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alice Pereira | 79c | 646.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 643.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.21 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…6bf7backed Hailey Cowan | 18c | 616.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +9.9wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +78%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Hailey Cowan | 29c | 609.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Alice Pereira | 66c | 604.01$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 591.83$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 586.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Alice Pereira | 54c | 527.04$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Hailey Cowan | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 485.9$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.52 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Hailey Cowan | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 474.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Alice Pereira | 79c | 452.95$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alice Pereira | 77c | 446.89$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alice Pereira | 57c | 445.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…b7d3backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 437.03$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hailey Cowan | 43c | 436.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Hailey Cowan | 25c | 419.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 417.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 416.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 411.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.13 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Hailey Cowan | 46c | 394.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Hailey Cowan | 26c | 357.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Alice Pereira | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Hailey Cowan | 47c | 336.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…b930backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 327.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Alice Pereira | 55c | 327.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Alice Pereira | 54c | 325.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Hailey Cowan | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.