TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b0e…b4db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5236.5%19 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.93
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.14
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$103.86
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.41
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$150.6
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.9
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.51
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+45%+$87.89
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$505.24
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.16
Barletta: Felix Gill vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$191.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$77.09
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$193.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.79
Barletta: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.23
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$135.21
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$161.7
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoebacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.05
San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.02
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$245.99
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.07
Menorca: Zdenek Kolar vs Sergio Callejonbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.13
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.38
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$26.17
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$276.74
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$174.66
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$95.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.2
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$268.58
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$49.83
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.02
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.49
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.74
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$313.32
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$419.46
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$104.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$320.34
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$112.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,468.22
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$545.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$123.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.