Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5caaf9ef3cdaad5511cd41acc0055b05b0b267bbb3477dac7e3b0ddc489b02ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 59c | 13,630$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.42 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 8,850$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 8,292$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.54 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 40c | 7,804$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed No | 58c | 4,541$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,783$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.7 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 24c | 3,491$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 70c | 3,457$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.41 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 3,371$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.27 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,146$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 57c | 2,660$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,611$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 1c | 2,186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,598$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,581$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.19 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 1,447$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.52 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 59c | 1,339$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.02 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 1,291$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 67c | 1,278$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.98 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 33c | 1,224$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 61c | 1,189$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.03 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 1,113$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.94 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 40c | 950$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 44c | 909.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 39c | 839.98$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 59c | 806.44$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked No | 63c | 798.84$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Yes | 41c | 793.51$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 59c | 752.67$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 609.03$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 66c | 602.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 596$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 39c | 592.8$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed No | 64c | 455.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 41c | 442.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 41c | 439$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 41c | 431.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 41c | 421.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 23c | 409.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 399.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 377.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 69c | 375.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…7a3ebacked Yes | 35c | 361.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 321.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 300.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 38c | 292.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…af78backed Yes | 41c | 276.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 41c | 274.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 67c | 272.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 61c | 271.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed Yes | 43c | 262.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 33c | 257.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 40c | 252.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 42c | 249.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 42c | 242.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 242.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…814cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 41c | 231.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed No | 60c | 221.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 221.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 219.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 205.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 74c | 196.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…d8a2backed Yes | 46c | 180.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes | 41c | 180.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 42c | 178.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Yes | 46c | 169.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked No | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…78dcbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 34c | 159$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.