UFC · resolved market
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8726b035e9be6ee8a2820f187fcd1a0020d1b2073dae4e3976aed1e598b1f48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sean O'Malleyof Aiemann Zahabi, Sean O'Malley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,003 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 223,073$51,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,062.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 160,356$123,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,751.53 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 132,234$101,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,413.87 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 130,186$28,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,717.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 120,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 86,053$66,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,792.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 59,999$46,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sean O'Malley | 77c | 54,826$42,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,610 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 48,188$10,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,488.85 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Sean O'Malley | 79c | 22,361$17,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 20,452$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Sean O'Malley | 79c | 19,749$15,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 16,876$13,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 15,257$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 15,062$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aiemann Zahabi | 16c | 13,524$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.07 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 18c | 13,353$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 12,174$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…bbb9backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 9,664$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…9cdcbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 9,425$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 8,555$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.07 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Sean O'Malley | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 6,888$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.24 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Sean O'Malley | 79c | 6,875$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.83 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 6,714$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…1121backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 6,421$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 6,280$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.31 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 6,255$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 5,495$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.46 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 5,106$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 5,081$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.74 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Sean O'Malley | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Sean O'Malley | 80c | 4,863$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,821$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed Sean O'Malley | 80c | 4,695$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,580$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.79 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…64d0backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 4,487$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…7347backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 4,187$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,150$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 4,114$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…bc55backed Aiemann Zahabi | 1c | 4,036$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 3,950$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.02 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 3,946$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.58 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sean O'Malley | 77c | 3,636$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.28 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…5e95backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 3,624$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 3,525$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.3 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 3,282$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.05 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 2,900$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 2,582$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 2,540$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +146%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 2,509$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.66 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aiemann Zahabi | 16c | 2,476$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.74 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…3b5dbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Aiemann Zahabi | 15c | 2,247$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 2,221$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…7057backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Aiemann Zahabi | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Sean O'Malley | 79c | 2,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Sean O'Malley | 79c | 2,000$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.81 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…3ababacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Aiemann Zahabi | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.08 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 1,900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…da98backed Aiemann Zahabi | 21c | 1,881$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 1,862$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Sean O'Malley | 80c | 1,857$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,802$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 1,800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 1,788$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Sean O'Malley | 79c | 1,782$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Sean O'Malley | 79c | 1,753$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.66 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Sean O'Malley | 80c | 1,699$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.18 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,601$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.85 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Sean O'Malley | 77c | 1,525$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…6309backed Sean O'Malley | 79c | 1,516$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…e567backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Aiemann Zahabi | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,483$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aiemann Zahabi | 23c | 1,483$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sean O'Malley | 78c | 1,402$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Aiemann Zahabi | 18c | 1,358$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Aiemann Zahabi win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.