UFC · resolved market
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625ec27d47a67a5f0d8b28a6984637cd6a315c03aefba1110ab0158370fecc75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 11,433$6,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.31 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 61c | 3,235$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.94 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…7244backed Yes | 39c | 2,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…6c79backed Yes | 49c | 2,233$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e055backed No | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.8 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes | 38c | 1,063$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 53c | 1,011$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 36c | 1,011$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.36 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 62c | 887.97$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.54 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 38c | 785.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.46 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 50c | 780.41$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 39c | 778.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 45c | 774.48$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.43 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…044dbacked Yes | 39c | 769.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 38c | 751.15$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.15 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed No | 63c | 644.94$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…fcc5backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…86f2backed Yes | 39c | 616.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 159 | 60.4%96 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…6cf1backed Yes | 37c | 481.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked No | 66c | 454.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 63c | 425.97$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.49 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…4e7dbacked Yes | 39c | 388.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…a955backed Yes | 39c | 317.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 39c | 310$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…c2c9backed Yes | 42c | 301.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…6877backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 39c | 259.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Yes | 39c | 258.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…7c5abacked Yes | 40c | 250.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Yes | 40c | 249.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…e52ebacked Yes | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 181.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Yes | 37c | 169.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Yes | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3e…fc74backed Yes | 40c | 161.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Yes | 40c | 153.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…6e0fbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 38c | 149.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 139.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…bef4backed Yes | 41c | 133.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…b58fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…8d54backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 39c | 128.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a02cbacked Yes | 48c | 124$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 43c | 123.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…c74ebacked Yes | 38c | 119.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ee72backed Yes | 42c | 117.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…86dcbacked Yes | 38c | 104.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…05fabacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…a318backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…42ecbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…afecbacked Yes | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 41c | 92.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 59c | 86.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed No | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…e2fabacked Yes | 37c | 80.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…8e5dbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…4bcbbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…36c6backed Yes | 45c | 78.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6a…3dd1backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c4bfbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Yes | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…12c3backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…3064backed Yes | 40c | 64.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…ed79backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…45adbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked No | 64c | 63.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…282fbacked Yes | 39c | 63.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…53e1backed No | 61c | 61.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…3e95backed Yes | 39c | 60.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…1a92backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…1e80backed Yes | 37c | 58.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…9966backed Yes | 34c | 56.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…465fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Yes | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…81edbacked Yes | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked No | 58c | 53.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 52.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…05d0backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…413bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean O'Malley won
- Will Aiemann Zahabi win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.