UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a3671a50e01532648f85e20135749768514740684c13cf72544c199b316efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 40c | 3,376$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.43 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,140$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Yes | 68c | 2,925$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 33c | 2,020$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.8 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed No | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 37c | 978.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…3f1ebacked No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 38c | 555.06$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 59c | 511$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 57c | 504.32$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.33 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed No | 38c | 500$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 56c | 441.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked No | 62c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 393.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 385 | 53.2%205 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed No | 52c | 385.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71de…6832backed Yes | 61c | 377.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8cd8backed No | 41c | 365.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed No | 42c | 328.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked No | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 59c | 304.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked No | 51c | 259.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 62c | 225.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 209$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 39c | 200.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…f00cbacked Yes | 62c | 177.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…ba40backed Yes | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 62c | 162.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked No | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 62c | 159.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Yes | 63c | 159.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 59c | 140.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed No | 44c | 138.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Yes | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…2b0bbacked No | 43c | 120.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Yes | 56c | 111.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…044dbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…a2f1backed Yes | 57c | 98.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…074ebacked Yes | 56c | 98.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…8507backed No | 68c | 93.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…6e0abacked Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yes | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…3f8ebacked No | 47c | 85.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed No | 43c | 74.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…a0afbacked No | 75c | 73.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 31c | 63.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked No | 52c | 59.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…eb66backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed No | 53c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 36c | 45.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…b947backed No | 43c | 45.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed No | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 57c | 44.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…4e79backed Yes | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed No | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…502bbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…b0d9backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…daebbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked No | 52c | 38.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…d42abacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed No | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…af5fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…cc38backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 59c | 32.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0525…c737backed Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 55c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Yes | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 43c | 29.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…4d80backed Yes | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…4258backed Yes | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…43c0backed Yes | 57c | 26.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 48c | 25.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 60c | 21.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…206ebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 60c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean O'Malley won
- Will Aiemann Zahabi win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.