UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297b559f9c2eedad3621596d6dae99345bef65d28e72922814a527a15f46471f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 37c | 150,144$55,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,874.42 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 63c | 143,657$91,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,999.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 62c | 12,364$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,615.38 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 58c | 2,934$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Under | 40c | 2,422$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 59c | 2,170$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.57 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Under | 41c | 1,953$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.68 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Under | 47c | 1,895$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Over | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Over | 61c | 1,576$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Over | 63c | 1,253$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 42c | 1,180$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 37c | 961.24$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Under | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 38c | 829.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Under | 38c | 829.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Under | 39c | 807.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Under | 39c | 807.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Under | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Under | 38c | 789.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 41c | 736.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Under | 39c | 717.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 60c | 683.25$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Under | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 60c | 506.07$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 58c | 480.63$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 50c | 414.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 409.83$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…abc0backed Over | 60c | 349.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Over | 59c | 343.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d04…bcc0backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 60c | 322.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…ee76backed Under | 41c | 285.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 37c | 252.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 59c | 235.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Under | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 49c | 216.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Under | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 37c | 203.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…7b03backed Under | 39c | 194.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked Under | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Over | 60c | 186.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…ffe4backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…76e2backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…d351backed Over | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Over | 65c | 154.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 40c | 152.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Under | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Over | 62c | 140$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…764fbacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 59c | 125.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed Under | 38c | 124.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Under | 38c | 124.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 60c | 120.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…6937backed Under | 43c | 116.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…4b9ebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…540fbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Over | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 60c | 97.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 41c | 97.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 94.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Under | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 86.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 52c | 81.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Under | 39c | 80.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 59c | 77.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Under | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 62c | 74.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 60c | 71.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Under | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…ce2bbacked Under | 39c | 64.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…810ebacked Under | 42c | 61.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sean O'Malley won
- Will Aiemann Zahabi win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.