NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6f15b1d468dafc56d89f4792c6cb20cdd64e0e2923c5083c02fa610372f4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,288,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,276,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,288,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 52c | 490,860$255,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,154.48 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Ducks | 56c | 227,272$127,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,272.32 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 58c | 126,851$73,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,329.5 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.99 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 40c | 53,125$21,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,875 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Ducks | 59c | 49,675$29,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,155 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Ducks | 60c | 46,224$27,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,734.39 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 22c | 26,160$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.18 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 56c | 26,120$14,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,627.22 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 43c | 25,555$10,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.33 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 56c | 25,011$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 45c | 22,323$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.84 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Ducks | 54c | 22,221$11,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,964.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Flames | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 57c | 17,940$10,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.02 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 57c | 16,380$9,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,336.6 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Flames | 40c | 16,250$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.98 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 40c | 13,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…28febacked Ducks | 1c | 12,405$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Flames | 45c | 12,078$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,639.95 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Flames | 45c | 11,991$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.64 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 40c | 11,782$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Flames | 45c | 11,751$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,414.07 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flames | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 42c | 9,620$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.46 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 61c | 9,255$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.4 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Flames | 43c | 8,432$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.45 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 57c | 7,483$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.25 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 56c | 7,142$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.46 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Ducks | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Flames | 43c | 6,670$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.8 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Ducks | 9c | 6,353$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Flames | 46c | 6,165$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.85 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Ducks | 58c | 6,057$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flames | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 56c | 5,999$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.7 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks | 0c | 5,528$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Ducks | 4c | 5,358$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 56c | 5,218$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.33 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Ducks | 10c | 5,087$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Ducks | 42c | 5,065$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Flames | 44c | 4,888$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.28 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 78c | 4,744$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.59 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 71c | 4,557$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Flames | 44c | 4,401$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.59 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flames | 41c | 4,400$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.98 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Ducks | 3c | 4,303$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 41c | 4,070$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Ducks | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.93 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 62c | 3,866$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.15 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 40c | 3,857$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Ducks | 60c | 3,792$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flames | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…5e5abacked Ducks | 11c | 3,458$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 40c | 3,435$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.06 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Flames | 43c | 3,430$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d59cbacked Flames | 40c | 3,360$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Ducks | 58c | 3,150$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Ducks | 39c | 3,086$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 42c | 3,006$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.67 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 41c | 2,976$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Ducks | 58c | 2,938$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.77 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Flames | 49c | 2,793$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.05 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Ducks | 60c | 2,670$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Ducks | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 60c | 2,555$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 56c | 2,500$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.27 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Ducks | 59c | 2,442$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.73 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flames | 42c | 2,381$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.52 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Ducks | 59c | 2,378$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.02 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Ducks | 57c | 2,350$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Flames | 46c | 2,313$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Flames | 44c | 2,277$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.92 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ducks | 58c | 2,240$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.38 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 58c | 2,203$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.88 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 56c | 2,193$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.69 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 43c | 2,163$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.79 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 30c | 2,093$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.76 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Flames | 42c | 2,066$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.01 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flames | 44c | 2,031$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.32 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Flames | 42c | 2,020$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.61 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Flames | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Ducks | 57c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Ducks | 60c | 1,967$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 57c | 1,949$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Ducks | 13c | 1,927$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,853$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.91 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…b956backed Ducks | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 22c | 1,711$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Flames | 44c | 1,710$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.78 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Flames | 43c | 1,646$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.59 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Flames | 47c | 1,629$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.72 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Ducks | 56c | 1,617$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.7 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Flames | 58c | 1,613$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.47 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Ducks | 57c | 1,590$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Flames | 40c | 1,588$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.56 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Ducksthis page
- Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.