NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52025545fc9f06521528bc8795e27d625912da7d84848570a9b6fd16104334e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,567,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,623,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,567,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 594,985$208,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386,171.44 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Ducks | 65c | 250,000$162,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,500 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 64c | 149,220$96,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,001.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Ducks | 65c | 130,000$84,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,500 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 127,987$58,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,952.6 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 111,695$42,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,367.8 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 57c | 86,609$49,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,319.05 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 63c | 72,548$45,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,535.39 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Ducks | 62c | 53,394$33,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,104.02 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 41,041$15,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,445.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Ducks | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 62c | 33,804$20,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,958.37 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 64c | 30,736$19,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,671.03 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 51c | 22,712$11,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,675 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 63c | 22,028$13,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,902.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 20,965$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,307.15 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Ducks | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.97 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Ducks | 62c | 19,673$12,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,197.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 62c | 18,074$11,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,263.55 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Ducks | 68c | 16,447$11,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,197.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Ducks | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ducks | 62c | 15,006$9,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,303.72 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…787bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 15,001$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 14,690$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,374.32 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Ducks | 64c | 14,521$9,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,347.96 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 13,800$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,928.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ducks | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.98 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Ducks | 62c | 12,420$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 11,003$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.7 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ducks | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 9,837$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.61 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 59c | 9,336$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 8,997$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.24 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 8,888$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 8,212$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.68 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 7,800$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Ducks | 62c | 7,271$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.83 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 7,158$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.56 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 7,065$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.15 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Ducks | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 6,508$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Ducks | 62c | 6,354$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Ducks | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbccc…a87cbacked Ducks | 65c | 6,216$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 6,103$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.21 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 6,043$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.33 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Ducks | 63c | 6,000$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Ducks | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 63c | 5,382$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.46 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 5,296$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5f20backed Ducks | 65c | 5,273$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 62c | 4,860$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.18 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 63c | 4,382$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,305$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.1 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Ducks | 2c | 4,305$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,062$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,011$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.21 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,006$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.36 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 3,868$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.49 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…2b6fbacked Ducks | 65c | 3,490$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 64c | 3,489$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.44 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,458$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ducks | 57c | 3,352$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Ducks | 60c | 3,334$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,129$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.55 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,087$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.62 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 3,042$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.01 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks | 65c | 3,022$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.28 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,014$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.29 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Ducks | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,841$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.07 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Ducks | 63c | 2,830$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,830$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.32 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Ducks | 63c | 2,638$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 2,632$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.77 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,492$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,471$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.88 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,435$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.51 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Ducks | 64c | 2,308$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,241$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.57 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Ducks | 57c | 2,101$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Ducks | 63c | 2,031$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,986$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.51 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…e9ccbacked Ducks | 63c | 1,937$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,911$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.14 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa281…2305backed Ducks | 64c | 1,888$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Ducks | 63c | 1,778$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.12 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,765$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.13 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,728$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…0c8fbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,612$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,559$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducksthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.