NHL · resolved market
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e195a5b6d05439a02f1a1985d515aff3a7d91026dd1a17fff12db80f1a968e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Ducks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 42c | 49,992$20,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,996.7 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 49,375$28,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,737.36 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,822$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.73 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,713$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.53 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,647$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 76c | 1,354$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.15 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 41c | 937.71$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 887.57$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.9 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Maple Leafs | 25c | 837.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.38 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Ducks | 42c | 783.93$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.25 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 753.7$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Ducks | 41c | 480.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 413.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 409.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 359.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 335.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 328.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 328.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 41c | 305.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Ducks | 40c | 244.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 235.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ducks | 57c | 220.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Ducks | 41c | 203.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Ducks | 44c | 197.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Ducks | 44c | 167.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Ducks | 42c | 167.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 167.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 43c | 153.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 138.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 138.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…0f15backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 106.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Ducks | 42c | 104.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Ducks | 22c | 102.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 98.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 96.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 95.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 88.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 41c | 87.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ducks | 50c | 84.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…258abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 82.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 73.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Ducks | 41c | 72.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 71.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ducks | 42c | 71.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Ducks | 42c | 70.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Ducks | 43c | 69.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 69.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Ducks | 47c | 69.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 40c | 68.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 64.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 60.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 59.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 54c | 59.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Ducks | 42c | 57.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Ducks | 44c | 56.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Ducks | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 49.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 49.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Ducks | 42c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ducks | 42c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 45.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Ducks | 44c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 41.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Ducks | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Ducks | 41c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 38.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 36.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…2afcbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 27.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Ducks | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…e578backed Ducks | 43c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -6.6wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Ducks | 44c | 26.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…ba24backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 18.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 17.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)this page
- Maple Leafs vs. DucksMaple Leafs won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.