Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248fa26f6c2a59468f94e095f6dc39e6d4f737a0b1e8d038bdec691b41adf1f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Mejiaof Matias Soto, Nicolas Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto | 11c | 4,657$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Matias Soto | 32c | 3,817$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Matias Soto | 3c | 3,522$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Matias Soto | 1c | 3,288$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Matias Soto | 26c | 3,229$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 1,740$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matias Soto | 23c | 1,227$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Matias Soto | 13c | 1,019$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 974.79$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matias Soto | 21c | 965.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nicolas Mejia | 72c | 856.48$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Matias Soto | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matias Soto | 36c | 798.96$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 761$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Matias Soto | 6c | 549.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Matias Soto | 30c | 539.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 530.51$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Matias Soto | 29c | 523.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…b4dbbacked Matias Soto | 20c | 366.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Matias Soto | 32c | 260.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nicolas Mejia | 75c | 240.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Matias Soto | 43c | 193.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 192.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 161.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Matias Soto | 32c | 155.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 150.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 142.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Matias Soto | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matias Soto | 23c | 95.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matias Soto | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matias Soto | 29c | 82.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 72.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Matias Soto | 32c | 72.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 69.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Matias Soto | 32c | 67.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Matias Soto | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto | 36c | 63.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 57.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Matias Soto | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 55.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 54.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matias Soto | 42c | 52.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Matias Soto | 39c | 47.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 43.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Matias Soto | 36c | 42.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Matias Soto | 31c | 40.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Matias Soto | 37c | 34.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 34.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Matias Soto | 35c | 33.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Matias Soto | 34c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 59c | 31.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Nicolas Mejia | 78c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…8fc1backed Nicolas Mejia | 73c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Mejia | 74c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d8d4backed Nicolas Mejia | 70c | 14.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejiathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Soto vs MejiaMejia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.