Music · resolved market
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f21513463b9883fbd5b2f0496397ff7c9f15d0b94751cdfbd0ca8f8c82a594e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 50c | 19,971$9,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,055.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 17,233$11,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.78 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70f…4e35backed Yes | 44c | 16,596$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 35c | 15,500$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7ee2backed Yes | 1c | 13,465$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 47c | 9,382$4,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 41c | 8,281$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.1 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 51c | 7,781$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 39c | 7,134$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.38 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 29c | 6,974$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 56c | 6,500$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 52c | 6,161$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 57c | 5,783$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.83 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 68c | 5,548$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 50c | 5,383$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.01 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…dd59backed No | 75c | 5,326$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.93 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 30c | 4,691$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.68 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 31c | 4,138$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 33c | 4,007$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.1 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 50c | 3,993$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…85ccbacked Yes | 40c | 3,784$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 53c | 3,700$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.36 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed Yes | 34c | 3,569$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 64c | 3,510$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.19 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…5e2abacked Yes | 57c | 3,293$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 60c | 2,945$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.43 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 62c | 2,800$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.59 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed Yes | 43c | 2,783$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…e52fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,688$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 63c | 2,613$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 78c | 2,556$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.69 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,476$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed No | 69c | 2,304$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 49c | 2,154$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 55c | 2,147$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 42c | 2,088$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.19 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,995$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…70aabacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 60c | 1,809$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked No | 51c | 1,731$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +230.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,650$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 35c | 1,566$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,466$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…f0b1backed Yes | 63c | 1,399$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c12fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,397$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Yes | 33c | 1,397$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 31c | 1,376$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.09 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…00a6backed No | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 54c | 1,300$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 68c | 1,295$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…93ecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 59c | 1,245$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,227$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 32c | 1,204$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked No | 68c | 1,203$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 34c | 1,174$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 32c | 1,155$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 63c | 1,145$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed No | 70c | 1,144$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 68c | 1,107$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 68c | 1,077$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,076$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…a390backed Yes | 38c | 1,074$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,060$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…087fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 53c | 1,038$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,033$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 41c | 1,008$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 41c | 961.7$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…e4e2backed Yes | 32c | 940.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 34c | 939.78$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 31c | 934.6$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed No | 69c | 932$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 919.31$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 56c | 900.08$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes | 59c | 898.79$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed Yes | 38c | 893.82$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 32c | 886$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked No | 66c | 882$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…e706backed Yes | 31c | 882$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 31c | 879$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 31c | 876$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 66c | 867$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 36c | 850$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 837.1$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.69 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c36…41a3backed Yes | 38c | 802.34$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 31c | 799.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 782.29$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b8…2256backed No | 65c | 768.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…61bfbacked Yes | 58c | 757.87$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.