Music · resolved market
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24c185482fd2ea9639b52da9281504712c04d642f53d4474ed25b6824c73ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,863$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,214$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,139$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 4c | 4,085$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 4c | 3,883$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 3,431$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 1c | 3,062$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 5c | 2,890$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 4c | 2,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…6717backed Yes | 1c | 2,116$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed Yes | 1c | 1,963$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 4c | 1,885$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,725$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…85c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,647$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…ee91backed Yes | 5c | 1,538$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,522$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 1,499$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…25ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,405$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,325$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,182$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…1f2bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,076$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,035$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes | 2c | 991.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…a8a5backed Yes | 4c | 942$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 928.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 3c | 899.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 4c | 899.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 4c | 888$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…4436backed Yes | 4c | 880$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…e71dbacked Yes | 4c | 872$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 850.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 3c | 824.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 4c | 800.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…d713backed Yes | 4c | 747$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…c706backed Yes | 4c | 743$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…3456backed Yes | 4c | 735$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…9fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 732$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…ced8backed Yes | 4c | 680$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…cd9ebacked Yes | 4c | 633$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…a5aebacked Yes | 3c | 600.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…2728backed Yes | 4c | 595$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 4c | 553.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 4c | 511.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 4c | 499.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…46cbbacked Yes | 4c | 494$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 463.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…3c72backed Yes | 4c | 428.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 4c | 392.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 4c | 346.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…a1a2backed Yes | 5c | 344.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.