TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,982,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,898,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,982,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c9,827$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.655111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c9,823$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21de…77debacked Yes0c7,015$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd2…bd5cbacked Yes2c6,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef70…38dcbacked Yes4c5,813$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29d…256abacked Yes2c4,818$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7670%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bd…05f7backed Yes4c4,781$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…1d33backed Yes4c4,765$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9e…de2abacked Yes4c4,376$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb287…347dbacked Yes3c4,357$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…4c2ebacked Yes3c4,300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda85…e27fbacked Yes3c4,258$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3261…5e00backed Yes3c4,242$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd842…538bbacked Yes3c4,241$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…27b6backed Yes6c4,237$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeac…8d68backed Yes4c4,204$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8b04backed Yes3c4,199$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes1c4,164$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.565030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…2fe5backed Yes4c4,159$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc4…5b3fbacked Yes5c4,151$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3401…e981backed Yes4c4,141$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ec…c895backed Yes3c4,109$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb45…9e2bbacked Yes3c4,015$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5afc…4ecdbacked Yes4c4,001$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5d…c0e9backed Yes5c3,974$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…0300backed Yes3c3,940$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a0…f61cbacked Yes4c3,919$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b1…d908backed Yes4c3,908$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…6468backed Yes6c3,902$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…dc99backed Yes4c3,899$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…324ebacked Yes4c3,869$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e22…6e73backed Yes4c3,807$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0348…d28dbacked Yes4c3,793$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdda…582fbacked Yes4c3,787$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d6…81f9backed Yes3c3,786$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97d…4c58backed Yes3c3,774$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb783…cd20backed Yes4c3,772$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b51…afb7backed Yes3c3,767$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a00…a004backed Yes3c3,748$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd83…05c3backed Yes6c3,694$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f3…f90fbacked Yes4c3,692$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c3,649$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46c…6e51backed Yes6c3,638$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2423…513abacked Yes5c3,256$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…3d2dbacked Yes5c3,139$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…fb69backed Yes6c3,000$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…ed90backed Yes3c2,938$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba7…47e8backed Yes4c2,930$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb8…336fbacked Yes4c2,884$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a2…a122backed Yes4c2,833$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e4…61f2backed Yes6c2,811$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7309…b45ebacked Yes5c2,781$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac55…79adbacked Yes6c2,719$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes2c2,686$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.937416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23b…1b4ebacked Yes4c2,680$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8681…ffb0backed Yes6c2,626$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a1…f823backed Yes4c2,579$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…939abacked Yes4c2,540$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f5…8201backed Yes4c2,501$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e16…697bbacked Yes3c2,486$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…f8a2backed Yes3c2,480$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe444…8c07backed Yes7c2,419$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110c…fe3abacked Yes4c2,359$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ff…3182backed Yes4c2,270$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b9…ba31backed Yes3c2,260$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a9…836ebacked Yes4c2,233$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0a…4c19backed Yes3c2,233$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3732…c6cdbacked Yes4c2,226$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fb…e911backed Yes4c2,224$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe146…16adbacked Yes3c2,214$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…5728backed Yes6c2,207$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9117…4f68backed Yes4c2,194$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3855…d532backed Yes4c2,193$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b87…8626backed Yes4c2,188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…e670backed Yes3c2,183$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ba…5681backed Yes6c2,182$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d10…6fedbacked Yes6c2,174$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd944…fe60backed Yes4c2,168$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bd…8865backed Yes5c2,162$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e90…8becbacked Yes6c2,162$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe374…5bc2backed Yes3c2,152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…6531backed Yes3c2,152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e6…e771backed Yes6c2,144$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb994…ab17backed Yes3c2,128$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf44…e5debacked Yes3c2,128$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7743…8902backed Yes4c2,126$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b2…ad7abacked Yes4c2,114$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab40…0eddbacked Yes4c2,102$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf1…7d4dbacked Yes4c2,102$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f00…c318backed Yes4c2,100$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4726backed Yes4c2,100$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae3…3af0backed Yes7c2,097$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…2a0cbacked Yes7c2,089$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162a…1d23backed Yes6c2,086$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e1…798abacked Yes6c2,086$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…c1f5backed Yes4c2,077$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a7…27b4backed Yes4c2,073$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8d…6210backed Yes4c2,064$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5089…5091backed Yes3c2,057$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307f…fe28backed Yes3c2,057$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.