TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$404,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c5,271$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.041478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes3c4,434$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.086334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c4,121$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9610529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes3c3,763$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.48407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x273d…f4ffbacked Yes5c3,522$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c3,398$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.187416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a6…1cd6backed Yes4c3,016$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c2,932$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8716250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03f…ba60backed Yes4c2,662$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes3c2,637$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.447425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c9…05d5backed Yes5c2,627$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc7…7d84backed Yes6c2,447$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes3c2,325$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4715119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3c…fffcbacked Yes4c2,239$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eda…0425backed Yes4c2,138$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ce…b5adbacked Yes4c2,117$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366b…2bd4backed Yes7c2,049$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47a…ae9ebacked Yes6c2,030$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762a…a42ebacked Yes6c2,006$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7633…5056backed Yes6c1,953$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes6c1,922$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x440e…3975backed Yes5c1,894$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f6…2976backed Yes5c1,877$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes3c1,872$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7319939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes5c1,799$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6414315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x311b…cb54backed Yes2c1,757$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1f…a112backed Yes2c1,729$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd5…2f25backed Yes7c1,717$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c1,702$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.148122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…78b7backed Yes3c1,681$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…202cbacked Yes6c1,676$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…58abbacked Yes3c1,675$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf072…6accbacked Yes2c1,661$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes3c1,637$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.755343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7486…ceb6backed Yes6c1,633$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes2c1,620$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.473917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc6…0cc9backed Yes5c1,613$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bbc…62acbacked Yes5c1,611$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…60e2backed Yes6c1,599$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484f…c227backed Yes7c1,573$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes2c1,568$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.815030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked Yes2c1,563$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.294928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,552$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.324629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes4c1,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes2c1,483$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.462138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4734…85c6backed Yes6c1,416$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253b…9262backed Yes7c1,414$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4b3…ef7ebacked Yes5c1,395$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc5…41bfbacked Yes3c1,388$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…440cbacked Yes3c1,385$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6976…eef3backed Yes6c1,384$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862c…ace6backed Yes3c1,361$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd6…7322backed Yes4c1,335$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…8d11backed Yes4c1,289$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Yes4c1,278$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x015e…3b6cbacked Yes4c1,260$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1555…34fbbacked Yes6c1,243$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…c7d5backed Yes4c1,241$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6231…1de9backed Yes6c1,241$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes3c1,222$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes3c1,200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.666926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc28b…e8fbbacked Yes4c1,184$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1409…2b08backed Yes6c1,170$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533d…4b28backed Yes5c1,161$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516f…a0e9backed Yes4c1,124$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407a…6752backed Yes5c1,121$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes2c1,089$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1a…e58bbacked Yes6c1,083$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8751…949ebacked Yes4c1,076$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes3c1,069$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c1,063$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.434434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…0727backed Yes5c1,023$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c1,010$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes4c1,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.071827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+290.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf454…6fdfbacked Yes6c977$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes3c964.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.345030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfc…7e1cbacked Yes5c952$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f54…ef70backed Yes4c926$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b9…8857backed Yes5c869$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfe…9fa8backed Yes5c857$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes3c805.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes3c800.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.793327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes3c778.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac8…b33ebacked Yes5c760$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef6…7d9fbacked Yes7c742$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b4…a1e0backed Yes7c715$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf832…fef6backed Yes4c691$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8260…7b20backed Yes4c689$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1009…6a7ebacked Yes5c679$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1988…a669backed Yes4c647$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9a…beeabacked Yes7c643$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…cc99backed Yes5c629$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758c…8707backed Yes5c624$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Yes3c616.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…743ebacked Yes3c580.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e08…639ebacked Yes5c579$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…f7f1backed Yes5c577$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…c578backed Yes5c556$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes2c554.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.145349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.