TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7ab…bc60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$93.7
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$44
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$72.75
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$59.31
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$142.64
Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,288.9%+$257.78
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+146.2%+$165.17
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.