Ukraine · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cc0eae4fec710f15a4aee89c6ff57e4091c69b2c2561090f073286468eb682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,058,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,058,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaba…f4e4backed No | 61c | 84,338$51,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,445.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa642…309fbacked Yes | 39c | 84,336$32,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,444.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed No | 0c | 58,064$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 26c | 44,915$11,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,755.39 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 45c | 40,784$18,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,275.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed No | 10c | 21,683$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 43c | 19,964$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,427.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 10c | 18,911$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.4 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4backed No | 9c | 16,549$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.92 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 48c | 15,019$7,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.47 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 40cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 6c | 13,341$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 7c | 13,181$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.79 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 26c | 13,159$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 10c | 11,889$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 11,809$8,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.39 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 47c | 11,626$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.91 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 11c | 11,576$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed Yes | 71c | 11,464$8,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked No | 28c | 10,044$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 44c | 9,998$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 23c | 9,576$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.22 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked No | 30c | 9,514$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 8c | 7,919$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.02 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 48c | 7,875$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 30c | 7,763$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 11c | 7,677$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 48c | 7,526$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 71c | 7,462$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked Yes | 62c | 6,756$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed No | 12c | 6,583$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 15c | 6,046$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.37 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed No | 33c | 6,024$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…a85abacked No | 8c | 5,603$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…2841backed Yes | 69c | 5,264$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 10c | 4,911$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 34c | 4,800$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 19c | 4,631$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 38c | 4,428$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 63c | 4,422$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 62c | 4,377$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed No | 10c | 4,285$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed No | 13c | 4,126$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 45c | 4,060$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 19c | 3,949$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.57 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed No | 10c | 3,820$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed No | 13c | 3,668$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 18c | 3,488$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 40c | 3,415$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…dbd0backed No | 9c | 3,138$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 19c | 3,119$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 3,050$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.75 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 42c | 3,030$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a831backed No | 13c | 2,758$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 28c | 2,584$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 10c | 2,584$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 28c | 2,562$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.6 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 41c | 2,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked No | 15c | 2,500$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…27c9backed No | 29c | 2,397$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…e4adbacked No | 11c | 2,322$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 51c | 2,188$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed No | 38c | 2,114$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…2e02backed No | 5c | 2,079$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,041$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 53c | 2,023$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.03 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 10c | 2,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 71c | 1,970$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,962$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 62c | 1,878$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 37c | 1,869$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…e266backed No | 11c | 1,863$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed No | 12c | 1,844$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 66c | 1,802$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed No | 6c | 1,768$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 41c | 1,766$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 78c | 1,737$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 55c | 1,721$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…290fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,638$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 61c | 1,629$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 11c | 1,593$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 8c | 1,590$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…496abacked No | 12c | 1,512$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 25c | 1,508$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 58c | 1,448$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…7e8cbacked No | 13c | 1,421$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 57c | 1,390$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 74c | 1,363$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.93 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…bd2cbacked No | 18c | 1,353$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed No | 8c | 1,333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked No | 38c | 1,325$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Yes | 42c | 1,300$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,289$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.74 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 12c | 1,251$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…7151backed No | 8c | 1,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 72c | 1,230$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed No | 51c | 1,181$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 44c | 1,172$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.34 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed No | 48c | 1,155$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.