UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15eabcf53075afd39f4d0f62740e54766d742595380617ae00c6074ef79f039

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magomed Ankalaevof Magomed Ankalaev, Bogdan Guskov
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $681,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $695,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	157,384$28,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,624.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	126,301$23,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,764.24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	55,823$10,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,490.01	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	52,632$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	42,340$7,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,910.36	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1320…f448backed Bogdan Guskov	0c	10,460$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	10,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	8,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bogdan Guskov	17c	7,813$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.24	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd05…0c26backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	6,316$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Bogdan Guskov	17c	5,883$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Bogdan Guskov	4c	5,343$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.83	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Bogdan Guskov	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	4,958$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.02	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Bogdan Guskov	8c	4,543$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.04	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	3,998$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.2	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	3,222$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Bogdan Guskov	8c	3,088$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.24	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Magomed Ankalaev	80c	2,989$2,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.86	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bogdan Guskov	4c	2,695$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.42	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	2,492$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.54	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a9a…77c4backed Bogdan Guskov	5c	2,408$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…8008backed Bogdan Guskov	2c	2,171$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	2,025$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+99.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Bogdan Guskov	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	1,932$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	1,844$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	1,700$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Bogdan Guskov	3c	1,674$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Bogdan Guskov	12c	1,364$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.11	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Bogdan Guskov	6c	1,345$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.72	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+11.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Bogdan Guskov	9c	1,200$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	265	52.1%138 W · 127 L	+23.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Bogdan Guskov	10c	1,125$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.65	203	48.3%98 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a92…3c67backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	1,100$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8268…d271backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	1,062$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bogdan Guskov	24c	1,054$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.55	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Magomed Ankalaev	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.01	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…27e7backed Magomed Ankalaev	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffa…f32ebacked Bogdan Guskov	20c	982.25$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.45	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	951.32$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Bogdan Guskov	4c	935.35$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc36…4ef7backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	876.1$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb1…42f6backed Bogdan Guskov	16c	838.95$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.26	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	820.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	178	41.6%74 W · 104 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magomed Ankalaev	79c	784.13$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.67	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	686.37$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.41	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Bogdan Guskov	7c	626.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	569.47$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	569.33$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.48	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	569$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.42	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	33.6%43 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3a…d782backed Bogdan Guskov	4c	541.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bogdan Guskov	22c	521$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.62	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Bogdan Guskov	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe650…0944backed Bogdan Guskov	17c	499.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	487.74$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.67	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…8b09backed Bogdan Guskov	4c	475.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c9…c3f0backed Bogdan Guskov	21c	470.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	447.37$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e22…237ebacked Bogdan Guskov	5c	436.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Bogdan Guskov	6c	401.41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Magomed Ankalaev	71c	350.21$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.42	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53a…473ebacked Bogdan Guskov	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	342.11$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	45	68.9%31 W · 14 L	+7.4wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f9f…ad0cbacked Magomed Ankalaev	79c	318.87$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.87	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	311.11$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	39	41%16 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab7a…7d28backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	307.47$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	300.9$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.17	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Bogdan Guskov	20c	299.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Magomed Ankalaev	79c	299.98$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d6…7826backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	260.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	257.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	255.44$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b70…2856backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	254.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Bogdan Guskov	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x343d…cd2ebacked Bogdan Guskov	17c	226.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	99	59.6%59 W · 40 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Bogdan Guskov	15c	206$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	202.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.21	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Bogdan Guskov	6c	200.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Bogdan Guskov	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc860…c0b7backed Bogdan Guskov	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Bogdan Guskov	19c	198.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Bogdan Guskov	13c	194.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	179.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.39	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Bogdan Guskov	9c	174.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x66c7…7a04backed Bogdan Guskov	18c	167.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…a70abacked Bogdan Guskov	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Bogdan Guskov win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Magomed Ankalaev win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event