TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,362,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,845,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,362,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c143,006$8,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,331.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes7c140,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes8c100,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes7c100,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.981915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes9c80,426$7,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,238.381216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c57,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x403a…376cbacked Yes3c51,823$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.551717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243b…0625backed Yes0c48,716$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.154226.2%11 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick17cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a33…3a4fbacked Yes7c41,711$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes5c27,193$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.3213036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes9c26,589$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.11529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes0c26,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b6…347ebacked Yes4c24,843$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes5c23,975$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.787142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes5c19,693$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.8911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes5c15,916$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.391705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…ba1fbacked Yes5c15,196$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes0c12,926$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes1c11,635$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.727018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes7c11,343$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.01595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes4c11,337$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes5c10,478$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes4c10,032$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes6c10,000$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.6710548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes4c9,816$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4715127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes2c9,128$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7410624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes5c9,000$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yes7c7,857$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes7c7,504$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7345528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes3c7,500$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7410736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes3c7,325$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes6c7,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…2752backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb770…3f81backed Yes2c5,650$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11613240.2%53 W · 79 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes4c5,406$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes7c5,397$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes2c5,316$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes8c5,250$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ac…f80dbacked Yes2c5,144$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef4…f703backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x780d…063ebacked Yes2c4,762$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes3c4,635$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.05170%0 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf4…2c9cbacked Yes2c4,615$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.151625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes2c4,609$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.969943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes7c4,558$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa617…1e71backed Yes2c4,535$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick6cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c4,535$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes7c4,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes7c4,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes6c4,424$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes4c4,350$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.434117.1%7 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f1…3ccdbacked Yes7c4,300$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d06…0f3ebacked Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ef…1829backed Yes5c4,258$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes8c4,163$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes5c4,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes9c3,878$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.988228%23 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes8c3,870$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.57132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…ccaabacked Yes4c3,518$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1617830.3%54 W · 124 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes7c3,414$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd768…3bf0backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…c4f4backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes8c3,163$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.621,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes4c3,133$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9216325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes1c3,032$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes2c3,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…de7fbacked Yes2c2,638$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf13d…fdf4backed Yes2c2,632$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes4c2,597$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6642048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes8c2,589$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes4c2,500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes8c2,492$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.354422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb866…977fbacked Yes3c2,383$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.966640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes3c2,346$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1168…de97backed Yes1c2,287$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…ce17backed Yes5c2,283$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047140.8%29 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes2c2,228$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes8c2,225$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17822620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes4c2,200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.614234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes2c2,146$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes2c2,048$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9111637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe719…b74dbacked Yes5c2,045$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Yes7c2,044$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.065339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Yes5c2,039$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…3954backed Yes5c2,017$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.814734%16 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes4c2,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3146243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.