Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146214b2434d258a2479a9b7563448d56594183fc0bcf8229fef9cb345edcc88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x877c…007cbacked Yes | 9c | 34,167$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…4b40backed Yes | 14c | 7,736$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,115$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.59 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 5c | 6,597$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 8c | 4,255$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,138$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 8c | 1,846$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 7c | 1,750$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…f7b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,554$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 9c | 1,482$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…c54abacked Yes | 8c | 1,395$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 7c | 1,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…3cc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,024$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…488cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,003$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…8c22backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…fbb2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…612cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 12c | 998.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…6b32backed Yes | 10c | 992.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 11c | 965.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +307.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 15c | 946.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 836.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…781cbacked Yes | 13c | 810.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked Yes | 7c | 750.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 699.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 7c | 688.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 13c | 680.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 9c | 659.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 53c | 591.28$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 38cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed Yes | 9c | 550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 536.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…833abacked Yes | 12c | 522.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…a1b6backed Yes | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…9610backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…cbc1backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed Yes | 6c | 495$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…cfe6backed Yes | 14c | 489.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 12c | 450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…7db5backed Yes | 11c | 445.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed Yes | 12c | 432.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…a41abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…2b9abacked Yes | 14c | 391.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…b556backed Yes | 9c | 388.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked Yes | 14c | 370.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked Yes | 10c | 341.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…7a8cbacked Yes | 7c | 314.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 10c | 311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…aa26backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…624ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ab0abacked Yes | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…e2b3backed Yes | 9c | 260.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…57a8backed Yes | 12c | 250.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…6c81backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…0a7cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…e84cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…bc60backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…6c84backed Yes | 7c | 212$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…eaf2backed Yes | 15c | 206.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…bdccbacked Yes | 12c | 204.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6823…8534backed Yes | 14c | 203.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 8c | 200.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…2b64backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…13c1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…7d59backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4598…c539backed Yes | 9c | 175.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…a4d4backed Yes | 9c | 173.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c4…dbf7backed Yes | 12c | 170.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 11c | 161.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…b7aebacked Yes | 8c | 156.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…7920backed Yes | 13c | 154.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1cb5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…2a69backed Yes | 12c | 149.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…50fcbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d3…a9b8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…29aabacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…9670backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…622ebacked Yes | 12c | 117.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…04f4backed Yes | 13c | 116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 115.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…0211backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…2bf0backed Yes | 12c | 109.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…4d20backed Yes | 14c | 106.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…eaf8backed Yes | 15c | 102.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…ce17backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…a253backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…5ebebacked Yes | 11c | 98.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.