Music · resolved market
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d09fed3ce3d847a8cb1deda4a03891783f89224f3c7e5f918ce58ccf5b05d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,597,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,379,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,597,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cfb…6d49backed Yes | 3c | 184,252$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 2c | 126,349$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.25 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…a3eabacked Yes | 10c | 84,369$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,605.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…5c92backed Yes | 6c | 83,831$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 4c | 74,074$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 57,575$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.35 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 3c | 47,678$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Yes | 4c | 45,312$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 3c | 35,464$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.58 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 27,411$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.6 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8e…8a65backed Yes | 3c | 25,382$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 24,375$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.96 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…eca5backed Yes | 4c | 23,605$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…64e3backed Yes | 2c | 21,133$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 6c | 20,840$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.52 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…2551backed Yes | 4c | 18,891$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…44f9backed Yes | 6c | 18,649$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 2c | 18,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 17,239$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.1 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 4c | 16,560$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes | 7c | 15,609$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.02 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed Yes | 3c | 14,298$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 14,053$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.39 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…15b5backed Yes | 2c | 13,813$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed Yes | 3c | 13,651$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 2c | 13,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,277$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 6c | 12,050$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.65 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…eadbbacked Yes | 3c | 12,023$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 12,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 2c | 11,859$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed Yes | 2c | 11,600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42f…e60cbacked Yes | 9c | 11,110$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 10,791$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…c575backed Yes | 3c | 10,618$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…82b7backed Yes | 5c | 10,455$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…8439backed Yes | 2c | 10,171$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 4c | 9,472$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 3c | 9,209$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…f18ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,642$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…d2edbacked Yes | 3c | 8,444$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…96a0backed Yes | 2c | 7,957$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 4c | 7,385$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 2c | 7,020$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…bf46backed Yes | 3c | 7,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 3c | 6,886$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,773$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…da87backed Yes | 3c | 6,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 3c | 6,639$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,609$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 6,608$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 6,582$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…0115backed Yes | 5c | 6,450$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6485backed Yes | 0c | 6,414$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…8729backed Yes | 11c | 6,244$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…00adbacked Yes | 4c | 6,106$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 11cpaid | +432.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…0d31backed Yes | 2c | 5,922$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 3c | 5,877$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…eda3backed Yes | 4c | 5,770$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,769$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…c97abacked Yes | 3c | 5,668$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 3c | 5,506$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…c60ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,462$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 5,300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,273$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes | 6c | 5,189$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 3c | 5,150$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…729bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,926$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…6b86backed Yes | 3c | 4,744$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…35a1backed Yes | 3c | 4,728$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 4,500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…f048backed Yes | 4c | 4,427$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,404$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…7cf1backed Yes | 3c | 4,265$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 4,250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf06…1402backed Yes | 3c | 4,198$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…217ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 4c | 4,128$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 6c | 4,096$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…dd36backed Yes | 2c | 4,084$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,978$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 5c | 3,948$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…7defbacked Yes | 3c | 3,946$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…19a1backed Yes | 3c | 3,862$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…82a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,834$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 6c | 3,765$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Yes | 3c | 3,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 3c | 3,600$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…fb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…e040backed Yes | 2c | 3,541$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a0cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,532$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 3c | 3,497$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 3c | 3,421$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…0187backed Yes | 3c | 3,394$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…409ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…8b12backed Yes | 3c | 3,335$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.