Music · resolved market
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf931e094c21b844b916c65258bc9b24311f13f91507fe8efda9923217fc79523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,456,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,242,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,456,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 5c | 133,160$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.96 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 10c | 104,204$10,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.5 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 100,089$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.27 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 3c | 75,866$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.98 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes | 1c | 74,704$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 6c | 70,010$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.26 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…43a8backed Yes | 5c | 54,510$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 2c | 50,674$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 42,996$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.69 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 4c | 39,754$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…97f3backed Yes | 6c | 33,210$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 33,111$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 7c | 32,462$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.41 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 5c | 27,423$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 1c | 27,023$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…be52backed Yes | 3c | 24,404$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 4c | 24,114$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.78 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 2c | 23,911$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…4819backed Yes | 2c | 22,417$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 19,688$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 3c | 17,190$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 4c | 16,815$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 6c | 16,026$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.16 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…0961backed Yes | 2c | 13,787$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 2c | 13,505$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…39b7backed Yes | 0c | 12,730$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 8c | 11,719$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.3 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 23c | 11,396$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 11,075$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.23 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…d5c7backed Yes | 4c | 11,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,673$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…36b3backed Yes | 1c | 10,663$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 10,367$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.74 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 2c | 10,055$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 3c | 9,556$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 4c | 9,201$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 4c | 8,932$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 8,875$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 8,665$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…506ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…ee47backed Yes | 3c | 8,031$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 2c | 7,644$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 2c | 7,385$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 3c | 7,264$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 4c | 7,220$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…e51fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,081$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 2c | 6,740$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 4c | 6,665$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,618$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 1c | 6,237$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…904dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,168$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 2c | 5,634$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 5,306$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 6c | 5,271$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 6c | 5,233$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…d862backed Yes | 2c | 5,087$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…c157backed Yes | 1c | 5,033$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,001$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 4,983$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 4c | 4,968$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 5c | 4,500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,458$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,428$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,360$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…fd2bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,305$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 4c | 4,225$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 4,211$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…ac0dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,116$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 4c | 3,855$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 2c | 3,536$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 3,335$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 14c | 3,271$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 3,207$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 5c | 3,201$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…bd8fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 0c | 3,078$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 7c | 3,017$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,985$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…6f58backed Yes | 3c | 2,946$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 3c | 2,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4679backed Yes | 5c | 2,852$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,849$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,836$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 6c | 2,792$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 2c | 2,776$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 4c | 2,750$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,732$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 1c | 2,728$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 2,723$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 8c | 2,402$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,386$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 1c | 2,385$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 5c | 2,362$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,351$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…4770backed Yes | 1c | 2,286$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.