Music · resolved market
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83684a358cf8635d5d632610b33d5352d25d14e7517affb6cdbaad6ee768fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,457,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $746,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,457,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 231,994$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.56 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 146,253$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.76 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 0c | 134,298$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.74 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 118,488$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,345$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.17 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 62,183$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 56,099$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 55,062$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c5d0backed Yes | 0c | 51,899$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 0c | 50,412$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 1c | 40,146$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed Yes | 1c | 30,545$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 25,191$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…1ec4backed Yes | 0c | 21,725$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,308$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,266$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…ae95backed Yes | 1c | 15,719$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 14,953$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 0c | 14,077$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 0c | 11,610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 10,064$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 9,720$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Yes | 2c | 8,253$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…bac1backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebd…cb20backed Yes | 0c | 7,395$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,392$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…2839backed Yes | 0c | 7,233$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…210abacked Yes | 0c | 7,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…7c69backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…6747backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…f161backed Yes | 0c | 6,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c0…943fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…e094backed Yes | 1c | 5,665$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…c43bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcab…d73bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…0c6cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…aabbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…4c08backed Yes | 0c | 4,573$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,515$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,491$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…1d56backed Yes | 0c | 4,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 4,267$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…d37dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,893$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…c2e9backed Yes | 0c | 3,430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b08ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,415$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…121fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,387$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…5857backed Yes | 1c | 3,228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 1c | 3,020$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…6665backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 0c | 2,996$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,938$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…90a1backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…a369backed Yes | 1c | 2,612$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 1c | 2,567$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…ec9abacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…20d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,215$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 1c | 2,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…17f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,087$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…1a01backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…5c6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,941$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 1c | 1,933$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…591fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,865$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Yes | 1c | 1,788$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,512$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…857dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…12adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.