Music · resolved market
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677826754ff7328696c121a398fdf495dcd2e04f84ecb6494b85b2883ccaa6ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,682,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,682,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 101,654$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.91 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 6c | 96,604$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.59 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 94,307$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.64 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 2c | 54,865$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 3c | 50,484$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 3c | 50,002$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.3 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…f3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 45,249$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…43a8backed Yes | 5c | 43,451$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 5c | 41,145$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.13 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 40,076$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.48 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 2c | 32,779$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…7e77backed Yes | 7c | 26,263$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 3c | 26,000$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 7c | 24,884$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…9339backed Yes | 3c | 20,150$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 4c | 19,154$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 4c | 18,078$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.79 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…ac0dbacked Yes | 4c | 17,951$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 3c | 15,248$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 3c | 14,365$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 5c | 13,434$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.46 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 2c | 11,737$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…e149backed Yes | 0c | 11,130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 4c | 10,687$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…053abacked Yes | 2c | 10,155$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 2c | 10,146$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 3c | 10,066$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…4819backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 2c | 9,989$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 4c | 9,959$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,891$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 3c | 8,806$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 6c | 8,337$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.55 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 8,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 7c | 8,011$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,991$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 3c | 7,342$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.23 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 6c | 7,295$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…2af4backed Yes | 3c | 7,050$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 6,769$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 8c | 6,478$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.18 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 5c | 6,413$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 6,396$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 6c | 5,875$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 5c | 5,663$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,504$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,386$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 7c | 5,291$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…fba0backed Yes | 3c | 5,154$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 2c | 5,020$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,693$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 5c | 4,659$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…7a00backed Yes | 8c | 4,584$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…24b5backed Yes | 3c | 4,223$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,851$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d954backed Yes | 3c | 3,646$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…a2c4backed Yes | 5c | 3,513$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 3,266$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 3c | 3,200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 5c | 3,131$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 3c | 3,013$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 5c | 3,002$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…5ca8backed Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…0401backed Yes | 2c | 2,770$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,769$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,746$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 2,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,661$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,614$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 2,608$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 7c | 2,467$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f8d6backed Yes | 8c | 2,413$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…adfbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,395$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 5c | 2,258$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +88%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 7c | 2,235$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,156$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,129$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0825backed Yes | 1c | 2,091$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…96a2backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 8c | 1,987$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,927$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…8f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,901$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…9c04backed Yes | 7c | 1,861$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…5d6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,840$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,838$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…8674backed Yes | 2c | 1,837$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,798$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 6c | 1,776$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…16e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 3c | 1,681$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…a8ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,667$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 4c | 1,631$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,607$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.