Music · resolved market
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6268e2f40d8a59d1320117d20e11ba8547273641205de1ca446f40f90cd913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,660,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,077,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,660,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 199,018$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.78 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 0c | 155,343$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.81 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 125,261$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.32 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 88,691$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 86,901$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 0c | 77,798$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 74,867$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…785fbacked Yes | 0c | 71,529$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 63,051$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 49,998$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 45,145$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 44,407$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 0c | 44,402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,202$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 35,553$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 1c | 26,669$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 1c | 26,084$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 23,978$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 0c | 23,447$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…ee47backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…5c12backed Yes | 1c | 19,092$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…f408backed Yes | 0c | 17,808$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 16,741$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…5c5cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,665$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 0c | 15,463$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 12,885$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790b…9c98backed Yes | 0c | 12,868$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…0f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,544$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…03f0backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…9234backed Yes | 1c | 11,459$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3898…b943backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…6d7fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,535$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,610$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3909backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,282$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…4b74backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 0c | 6,789$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…1983backed Yes | 1c | 6,301$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,878$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,560$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 5,553$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 1c | 5,530$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 2c | 5,402$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 1c | 5,386$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…fae7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 4,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…7cacbacked Yes | 1c | 4,586$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…5c92backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…a369backed Yes | 1c | 4,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…18febacked Yes | 1c | 4,334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,287$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…fa1ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,977$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…6cdabacked Yes | 0c | 3,673$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…b875backed Yes | 0c | 3,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 3,470$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…a693backed Yes | 1c | 3,368$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…4c47backed Yes | 1c | 3,213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 1c | 3,104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd740…54f6backed Yes | 0c | 3,091$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…bd93backed Yes | 0c | 2,914$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9339backed Yes | 0c | 2,910$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 1c | 2,765$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…fc5fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,723$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,620$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…67f9backed Yes | 0c | 2,598$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 2,588$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…7defbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…ef47backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 2,377$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…3e0dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,223$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…9e3abacked Yes | 1c | 2,182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…624bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…6cc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…7411backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…6fadbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…caecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 1c | 1,938$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…4603backed Yes | 1c | 1,692$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,521$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 1c | 1,381$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3abcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…76afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,124$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,057$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.