Music · resolved market
Will France win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c21803b308b63153e9c821a55f6c4aec287f8bcba90639dd3fbb0ffe4ca300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,179,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,179,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61e6…43a8backed Yes | 7c | 61,054$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 7c | 49,103$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.94 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 38,416$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.54 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 14c | 30,000$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 6c | 30,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 10c | 19,463$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.26 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 8c | 15,138$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 10c | 14,858$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.51 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 7c | 14,776$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.06 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 11c | 14,114$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 11c | 14,076$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 9c | 13,560$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 12,600$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.47 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 10c | 12,501$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 6c | 12,380$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.18 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 8c | 12,239$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.64 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…2911backed Yes | 5c | 11,055$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 5c | 11,017$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…4819backed Yes | 12c | 10,644$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 10,493$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.21 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 5c | 10,459$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.96 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 5c | 9,552$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 17c | 9,033$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 10c | 8,438$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 11c | 8,234$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 10c | 7,642$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 4c | 7,500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…ef51backed Yes | 12c | 6,666$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 12c | 6,478$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…52f2backed Yes | 7c | 6,285$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 11c | 6,063$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 9c | 5,639$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…5dbabacked Yes | 13c | 5,368$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 12c | 5,325$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 8c | 5,136$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 8c | 5,008$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 13c | 4,947$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…04b4backed Yes | 11c | 4,751$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 17c | 4,367$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 16c | 3,734$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…8f71backed Yes | 13c | 3,713$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d954backed Yes | 16c | 3,576$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…174cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,323$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,305$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.33 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,282$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 15c | 3,079$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 15c | 3,032$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 8c | 2,737$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,681$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…bf46backed Yes | 7c | 2,600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,502$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…7d91backed Yes | 16c | 2,331$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 10c | 2,300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f8d6backed Yes | 14c | 2,277$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,206$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,167$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 10c | 2,150$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d84bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,102$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 5c | 2,086$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,077$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…11a8backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed Yes | 7c | 1,947$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 6c | 1,909$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2732…3085backed Yes | 14c | 1,891$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,878$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 5c | 1,844$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…88f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,841$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 9c | 1,814$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 11c | 1,781$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,723$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed Yes | 10c | 1,686$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,603$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,562$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 8c | 1,540$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…99c7backed Yes | 12c | 1,493$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 6c | 1,429$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…7538backed Yes | 15c | 1,426$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 16c | 1,391$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 10c | 1,350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 4c | 1,307$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,250$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 12c | 1,156$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,058$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…0d55backed Yes | 8c | 1,054$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 5c | 1,025$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 12c | 1,008$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 11c | 1,004$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…a1febacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.