TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,666,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$536,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,666,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c231,982$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.23283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-93.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c201,561$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.3722927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c125,740$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.43180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf873…88c4backed Yes1c72,646$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…2136backed Yes1c60,080$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.61230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c58,263$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.46561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes3c30,680$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes1c30,100$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes1c22,283$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.42100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes1c22,232$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.48333%1 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes1c18,464$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-91.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbc2…b496backed Yes1c18,433$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1760%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…0708backed Yes0c16,900$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c14,187$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.63280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c13,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56370%0 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Yes1c11,586$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…87d9backed Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ae…76dcbacked Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe224…c56dbacked Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd24…2223backed Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…371abacked Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…d32fbacked Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa1…4c87backed Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3797…6883backed Yes1c10,623$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6152…ea90backed Yes1c10,610$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1f…2b0cbacked Yes1c10,513$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb30…97bcbacked Yes1c10,450$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3093…0d01backed Yes1c10,223$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5068…2ebebacked Yes1c10,205$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…cf4bbacked Yes1c10,200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c10…6021backed Yes1c10,195$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa768…eb1bbacked Yes0c10,010$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+85.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…6582backed Yes1c9,953$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c86…a6efbacked Yes1c9,723$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38f…d33ebacked Yes0c8,260$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7880%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0682…4250backed Yes1c7,658$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b8…4a7fbacked Yes1c7,624$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe892…05f6backed Yes1c6,768$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+186.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a28ebacked Yes1c5,856$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes1c5,555$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.33234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-87.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf408…305fbacked Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb1…fd70backed Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…4addbacked Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb179…6dcebacked Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb5…ebaebacked Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0051…81c1backed Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcb…973abacked Yes1c5,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35330%0 W · 33 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b06…98cebacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…c939backed Yes1c5,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2789…96a2backed Yes1c5,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc4…24b9backed Yes0c4,753$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ff…fc59backed Yes1c4,575$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes1c4,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-82%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…c2e9backed Yes0c4,073$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f6…6cc1backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c3,943$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45680%0 W · 68 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…1ef6backed Yes0c3,715$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes1c3,711$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a4…9500backed Yes1c3,382$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes0c3,381$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick5cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d1…4b1dbacked Yes1c3,134$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes1c3,001$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6e…dd2cbacked Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210%0 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…0ddebacked Yes1c2,979$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e3…6a57backed Yes0c2,968$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…9da6backed Yes0c2,923$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592a…59cbbacked Yes1c2,908$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Yes1c2,846$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee40…ede2backed Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes1c2,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-69.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeda1…1d22backed Yes1c2,490$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes2c2,484$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-64%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5584…6e2abacked Yes1c2,445$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4179…0944backed Yes1c2,392$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6500…dc48backed Yes1c2,333$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12e…971fbacked Yes1c2,239$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec6…322bbacked Yes1c2,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed Yes1c2,143$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b19…fb2dbacked Yes1c2,110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…ef47backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcad3…0bf5backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c85…9e34backed Yes1c1,980$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-94.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3b…784fbacked Yes1c1,924$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfea…15ecbacked Yes1c1,813$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…3713backed Yes1c1,774$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ce…dc7ebacked Yes1c1,728$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…3d6fbacked Yes3c1,658$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…d0efbacked Yes1c1,639$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df5…90fdbacked Yes1c1,628$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a81…5d4bbacked Yes1c1,553$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a20…4a07backed Yes1c1,530$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2c…475fbacked Yes1c1,527$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes1c1,514$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes1c1,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.215119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7b…babebacked Yes1c1,445$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec0…f333backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.