TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee40…ede2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST6145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.36
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.99
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.03
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$18.49
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$20.81
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$23.87
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$13.59
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.77
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.98
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.88
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.82
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.09
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.55
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.17
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.42
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.13
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$134.86
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.89
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.24
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.5
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.67
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.38
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$69.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.