Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa39e9ab3173ab3d3a95e7a9da172684ab0d9c1f393294b2e7de263c6a3ff47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 18,913$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,448.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 49c | 12,244$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.54 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 9,047$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 51c | 8,422$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 5,129$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.57 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 47c | 4,257$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 3,191$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Over | 47c | 2,854$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 49c | 2,740$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 2,718$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.9 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 53c | 2,011$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.86 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 48c | 1,862$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 80c | 1,724$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,527$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.86 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 48c | 1,500$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.44 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 1,172$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.84 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,058$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 893.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 785$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.35 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 741.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 18c | 616.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 47c | 543.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 50c | 528.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.45 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 49c | 436.73$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Over | 47c | 425.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 52c | 387.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 52c | 386.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 46c | 267.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Over | 80c | 239.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 52c | 227.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…38c0backed Over | 49c | 206.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Over | 48c | 167.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 47c | 129.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…6c83backed Over | 78c | 127.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 47c | 118.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 53c | 100.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Under | 56c | 94.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 46c | 81.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 47c | 74.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 73.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 47c | 72.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…b3bcbacked Over | 49c | 58.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…23dfbacked Under | 55c | 55.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…4edbbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.