Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873433e453af3ca7407857ee715be6faca995da84c1b80cf4d0e78e62d746d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 8,367$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 7,338$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 75c | 4,156$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Over | 70c | 2,777$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 74c | 2,750$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 2,030$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 908.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 26c | 834$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Over | 71c | 705$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 633.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 26c | 435.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 70c | 428.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 221$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 11c | 220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 26c | 199.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 74c | 166$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 68c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 12c | 115.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Over | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 78.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 73c | 73.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 27c | 66.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 28c | 64.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…4886backed Over | 73c | 55.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over | 72c | 47.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 27c | 46.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 73c | 41.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 73c | 40.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…1591backed Over | 74c | 35.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 25.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 69c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…cf55backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Over | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.