Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35ad2e9ae0e2a53803c87c5261977783adf2c98598b7bb671abab88b28802e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Leeds United FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Leeds United FC | 20c | 14,981$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,983.79 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 77c | 9,356$7,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Leeds United FC | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.48 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 35c | 735$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Leeds United FC | 67c | 291$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 78c | 202.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Leeds United FC | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Leeds United FC | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Leeds United FC | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…7e7dbacked Leeds United FC | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Leeds United FC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Leeds United FC | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 52.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nottingham Forest FC | 78c | 42.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…f3dfbacked Leeds United FC | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.