NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb091331913c766490a5449176599e71fd08c754d5c4e9b5c4f9d1800004aae57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $681,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Sabres | 54c | 174,013$93,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,567.73 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 54c | 95,000$51,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,649.85 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 47c | 75,000$35,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,750 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Penguins | 46c | 55,000$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,700 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 46c | 41,019$18,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,150.35 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 46c | 37,267$17,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,124.39 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Sabres | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Penguins | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 46c | 18,809$8,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.55 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Sabres | 55c | 16,873$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sabres | 54c | 15,395$8,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,313.04 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 45c | 12,195$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sabres | 53c | 12,000$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.88 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Sabres | 56c | 11,452$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,413.28 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Penguins | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sabres | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…561ebacked Sabres | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Sabres | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Penguins | 45c | 9,888$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.82 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Penguins | 46c | 9,404$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 45c | 9,333$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.33 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Penguins | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sabres | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 46c | 7,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 44c | 6,697$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Sabres | 5c | 5,331$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 45c | 5,227$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.57 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Penguins | 46c | 5,150$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sabres | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 50c | 4,828$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Penguins | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Penguins | 61c | 4,492$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.03 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 46c | 4,476$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.14 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 77c | 4,208$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Penguins | 45c | 4,168$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.26 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 45c | 3,943$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.37 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 46c | 3,886$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.44 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 46c | 3,778$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Sabres | 55c | 3,705$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.49 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sabres | 31c | 3,036$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.07 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 46c | 2,900$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 43c | 2,777$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Penguins | 40c | 2,400$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sabres | 59c | 2,260$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.77 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Sabres | 36c | 2,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Penguins | 45c | 2,183$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.65 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Penguins | 64c | 2,035$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.73 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Sabres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres | 55c | 1,984$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.41 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 1c | 1,911$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Sabres | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Penguins | 46c | 1,879$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.91 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…bf85backed Penguins | 46c | 1,714$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fc66backed Sabres | 55c | 1,714$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 43c | 1,424$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.95 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 38c | 1,416$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Penguins | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Sabres | 54c | 1,248$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 53c | 1,225$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 46c | 1,203$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.62 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Sabres | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 56c | 1,100$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Sabres | 49c | 1,082$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.99 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,034$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.78 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sabres | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 46c | 999.97$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed Penguins | 46c | 985$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Penguins | 50c | 983.67$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2390backed Penguins | 45c | 977$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 45c | 970$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 55c | 945.45$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…005bbacked Sabres | 55c | 930$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 9c | 902.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…6de8backed Penguins | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sabres | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…a020backed Sabres | 56c | 885$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sabres | 54c | 833.42$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0853…2ffcbacked Penguins | 46c | 830$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…6938backed Penguins | 45c | 815$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…098fbacked Sabres | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Penguins | 46c | 799.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Sabres | 56c | 756.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.66 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…fcf6backed Penguins | 45c | 741.11$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres | 55c | 711.3$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…f14bbacked Sabres | 56c | 707$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Sabresthis page
- Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.