NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cc788d4843df6beb376fbc038d14d7bded6c6c94b90e9b48da40bd6a947245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 46c | 17,768$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.79 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 14,116$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.39 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 10,965$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.77 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 5,117$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 4,719$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.41 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 51c | 1,755$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…5a7cbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…c085backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…a22abacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…166dbacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…e0f1backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…0fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…d24fbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…87f2backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…f05cbacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…ca55backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…226fbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…a7f1backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…591bbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…a9a3backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…c319backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…c969backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…30d4backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…95b9backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…4b89backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…7abbbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…1fb2backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…6fc2backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…eeebbacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…8d92backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…b7dcbacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…b7a6backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…19f7backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…2883backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…82eabacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…7ca9backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…9f39backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…9065backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…47b5backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…165fbacked Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…1397backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…b260backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…6e02backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…7199backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…a013backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…c2b0backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2832…1eeabacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…3186backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…5ab0backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…58a1backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…caa3backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…8848backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…c8f6backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…47f1backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…58d9backed Over | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…6e75backed Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 1,063$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 767.22$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 721.88$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 511.41$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 6c | 460.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 61c | 413.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 391$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 47c | 364.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 45c | 324$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 318.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 266.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Under | 47c | 254.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 251.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Under | 43c | 230.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 227$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 47c | 173.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Under | 47c | 112.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 47c | 108.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 53c | 93.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 90.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 47c | 83.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 67c | 72.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 47c | 70.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 47c | 68.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 47c | 64.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 64.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 47c | 63.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 47c | 57.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 47c | 54.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. SabresPenguins won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.