Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16494f18325c9ead03f9c771f6835063d1abc33373ddf6e8872f7e591d778712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 11,354$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 61c | 4,544$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.74 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 61c | 3,610$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 3,255$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 3,203$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.8 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 1,924$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.94 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,877$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 1,594$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.54 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 33c | 1,330$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 16c | 1,284$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 1,081$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 1,078$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.52 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 797.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 78c | 771.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 62c | 678$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 39c | 641$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 22c | 624.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 61c | 490.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked No | 63c | 477$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 448.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 80c | 444.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 63c | 444.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 37c | 441.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 51c | 437.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 427.32$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.28 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed Yes | 35c | 423.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 44c | 418$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…8197backed No | 60c | 362.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…810cbacked No | 60c | 357.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1827backed Yes | 41c | 350.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…ce3bbacked No | 60c | 350.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…ad58backed No | 60c | 347.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…e3b8backed No | 60c | 347.41$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 345.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 339.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…15bdbacked Yes | 41c | 339.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…b4adbacked Yes | 41c | 338.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…7e52backed Yes | 41c | 336.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 39c | 323.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 32c | 314.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 62c | 300$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 61c | 286.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 36c | 278.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 267.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 61c | 254$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 247$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 183.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 61c | 179$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 62c | 165$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 39c | 155.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…a156backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Yes | 79c | 105.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 101.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 38c | 92.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 41c | 87.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 62c | 80.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 41c | 80.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 35c | 76.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 32c | 74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.