TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No70c18,128$12,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,438.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c10,498$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.032,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes0c7,860$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.842842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No70c5,723$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.134463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c3,774$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.5896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c3,677$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.7540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No60c2,065$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82611153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes40c1,801$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes31c1,513$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.114546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c1,385$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes17c1,323$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.333141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5222…a3b7backed No69c1,320$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c1,041$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c1,026$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1353…c7fdbacked No52c980.77$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4046…de2bbacked No69c939.99$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes31c774.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x174d…39eebacked No69c726$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4988…5772backed No69c625.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.065100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c498.57$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No69c399.97$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9910038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked No71c365$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a5…d778backed No69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes26c348.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No69c226.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.665959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes40c209.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes18c206.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes28c204.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes16c175.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c171.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.123828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes33c169.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes22c163.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes11c161.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes31c161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.915236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes32c156.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes30c155.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c154.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c132.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes32c110.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes22c108$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c104$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Yes34c102.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-76%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes13c101.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c101$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1caa…9573backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes29c84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No63c78.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.926070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No69c66.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No69c66.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed No78c63.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed No72c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes31c60.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes29c59.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2920033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No69c56.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4813160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…378cbacked Yes31c51.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No69c50.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes44c47.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212556%14 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c5c…3740backed Yes26c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec18…8eb4backed No78c36.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-85.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No70c36.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.853661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.857558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes39c33.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No71c28.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed No70c23.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x957c…2965backed No70c22.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c22.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No69c18.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8710957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.