TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1467…4372backed No62c18,898$11,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,272.883641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c16,129$5,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,723.982,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No62c12,912$8,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.565736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes38c11,000$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No62c6,917$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.341060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No62c6,625$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.56346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No62c4,000$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5109631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c3,946$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.6996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No61c3,600$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.817248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c3,332$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.7293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c2,739$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.9368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c2,472$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.5398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes38c1,249$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.628042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No61c1,200$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c1,162$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No63c828.38$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.51776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c795.41$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.011,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c736.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No62c678$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.644355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes42c561.62$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.886848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2d…0d98backed Yes42c502.38$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes32c491.48$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.624721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes41c485.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes42c476.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes30c409$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.73250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No61c347.85$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.465959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed Yes26c276.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c267.72$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes30c262.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c262$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c204.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes34c204$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.598357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c181$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.714742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606653%35 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c156.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9814347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes17c147.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed Yes39c139.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No60c129.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c128$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes23c126.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.515635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef0…f811backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237b…e373backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed No61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.235236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c76.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes42c71.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f99…e345backed Yes39c68.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes38c67.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No68c63.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9520749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…96ecbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e53…7162backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b41…0d64backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Yes38c52.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4d25backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes38c50.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8432150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.